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ASC HLM vs US Goree

Senegal Senegal

Ligue 1 2025/2026
ASC HLM Logo

ASC HLM

0 - 5
FT
US Goree Logo

US Goree

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

US Goree in this Ligue 1 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-5 — backing the pre-match view that favored US Goree.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
ASC HLM
35%
Draws
32%
US Goree
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • ASC HLM haven't matched US Goree's recent run of results.
  • Model gives ASC HLM a 33% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Ligue 1 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.4%
ASC HLM Clean Sheet 68%
US Goree Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric ASC HLM US Goree
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 5 11
Draws 18 15
Losses 7 4
Goals Scored 0.6 0.97
Goals Conceded 0.8 0.47
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Ligue 1
US Goree vs ASC HLM
1:1
Jan 11, 2026 Ligue 1
ASC HLM vs US Goree
0:5
Apr 26, 2025 Ligue 1
US Goree vs ASC HLM
1:0
Dec 1, 2024 Ligue 1
ASC HLM vs US Goree
1:2
Aug 29, 2011 Ligue 1
US Goree vs ASC HLM
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

ASC HLM 50 / 100
US Goree 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
ASC HLM US Goree

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ASC HLM Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Recent resilience: ASC HLM stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

ASC HLM scored in 43% of their last 30 games.

US Goree has conceded goals in 40% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

ASC HLM VS US Goree
1 Goals Scored 0.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

ASC HLM

(Home)
04 Jun
ASC HLM
2 : 1
Pikine
22 May
Sonacos
0 : 0
ASC HLM
17 May
ASC HLM
0 : 1
Generation Foot
13 May
ASC HLM
0 : 0
Linguere
10 May
US Goree
1 : 1
ASC HLM
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US Goree

(Away)
04 Jun
US Goree
0 : 0
Mbour
22 May
Wally Daan
1 : 1
US Goree
17 May
US Goree
2 : 1
AJEL
13 May
Ouakam
2 : 0
US Goree
10 May
US Goree
1 : 1
ASC HLM
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Teungueth 30 13 15 2 21:6 54
2 AJEL 30 15 9 6 27:19 54
3 Generation Foot 30 13 9 8 37:22 48
4 US Goree 30 11 15 4 29:14 48
5 Wally Daan 30 10 14 6 29:24 44
6 Ouakam 30 8 18 4 23:16 42
7 ASC Jaraaf 30 9 14 7 21:16 41
8 Casa 30 7 19 4 29:20 40
9 Pikine 30 7 13 10 20:19 34
10 Mbour 30 5 18 7 18:21 33
11 ASC HLM 30 5 18 7 18:24 33
12 Dakar Sacre-Coeur 30 5 16 9 24:37 31
13 Guediawaye 30 7 8 15 29:34 28
14 Linguere 30 3 16 11 22:36 25
15 Sonacos 30 4 13 13 18:39 25
16 AS Camberene 30 3 15 12 16:34 24
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)