Sport Picks

Stadium Background

ASC Jaraaf vs Pikine

Senegal Senegal

Ligue 1 2025/2026 Stade de Diaraf, Dakar
ASC Jaraaf Logo

ASC Jaraaf

0 - 1
FT
Pikine Logo

Pikine

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Ligue 1 2025/2026 game between ASC Jaraaf and Pikine finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Pikine.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
ASC Jaraaf
35%
Draws
12%
Pikine
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: ASC Jaraaf

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • ASC Jaraaf carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans ASC Jaraaf's way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 38%
Over 2.5 Goals 22%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 20%
ASC Jaraaf Clean Sheet 68%
Pikine Clean Sheet 21%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric ASC Jaraaf Pikine
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 7
Draws 14 13
Losses 7 10
Goals Scored 0.7 0.67
Goals Conceded 0.53 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 13, 2026 Ligue 1
Pikine vs ASC Jaraaf
0:0
Jan 25, 2026 Ligue 1
ASC Jaraaf vs Pikine
0:1
May 11, 2025 Ligue 1
Pikine vs ASC Jaraaf
0:0
Dec 31, 2024 Ligue 1
ASC Jaraaf vs Pikine
0:0
Apr 28, 2024 Ligue 1
Pikine vs ASC Jaraaf
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

ASC Jaraaf 86 / 100
Pikine 12 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
ASC Jaraaf Pikine

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ASC Jaraaf Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: ASC Jaraaf remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Pikine's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

ASC Jaraaf's goal record stands at 47% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Pikine let in goals in 43% of their last 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

ASC Jaraaf VS Pikine
0.75 Goals Scored 1
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.5
38% Over 1.5 38%
25% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

ASC Jaraaf

(Home)
04 Jun
AS Camberene
0 : 2
ASC Jaraaf
22 May
ASC Jaraaf
0 : 0
Casa
17 May
ASC Jaraaf
3 : 0
Dakar Sacre-Coeur
13 May
Pikine
0 : 0
ASC Jaraaf
10 May
ASC Jaraaf
0 : 0
Sonacos
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Pikine

(Away)
04 Jun
ASC HLM
2 : 1
Pikine
22 May
Pikine
1 : 2
AS Camberene
17 May
Casa
1 : 0
Pikine
13 May
Pikine
0 : 0
ASC Jaraaf
10 May
Pikine
0 : 0
Dakar Sacre-Coeur
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Teungueth 30 13 15 2 21:6 54
2 AJEL 30 15 9 6 27:19 54
3 Generation Foot 30 13 9 8 37:22 48
4 US Goree 30 11 15 4 29:14 48
5 Wally Daan 30 10 14 6 29:24 44
6 Ouakam 30 8 18 4 23:16 42
7 ASC Jaraaf 30 9 14 7 21:16 41
8 Casa 30 7 19 4 29:20 40
9 Pikine 30 7 13 10 20:19 34
10 Mbour 30 5 18 7 18:21 33
11 ASC HLM 30 5 18 7 18:24 33
12 Dakar Sacre-Coeur 30 5 16 9 24:37 31
13 Guediawaye 30 7 8 15 29:34 28
14 Linguere 30 3 16 11 22:36 25
15 Sonacos 30 4 13 13 18:39 25
16 AS Camberene 30 3 15 12 16:34 24
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)