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Aschaffenburg vs Ingolstadt II - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

Oberliga Bayern Nord
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AI Match Summary

The Oberliga Bayern Nord game between Aschaffenburg and Ingolstadt II finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Aschaffenburg.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Aschaffenburg
35%
Draws
32%
Ingolstadt II
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Ingolstadt II carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Aschaffenburg's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Aschaffenburg Clean Sheet 15%
Ingolstadt II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aschaffenburg Ingolstadt II
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 8 11
Draws 9 6
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 1.48 1.57
Goals Conceded 1.79 1.77
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 Oberliga Bayern Nord
Aschaffenburg vs Ingolstadt II
2:0
Mar 30, 2019 Regionalliga Bayern
Ingolstadt II vs Aschaffenburg
3:3
Sep 8, 2018 Regionalliga Bayern
Aschaffenburg vs Ingolstadt II
1:2
May 21, 2016 Regionalliga Bayern
Ingolstadt II vs Aschaffenburg
5:3
Oct 31, 2015 Regionalliga Bayern
Aschaffenburg vs Ingolstadt II
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aschaffenburg 39 / 100
Ingolstadt II 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aschaffenburg Ingolstadt II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aschaffenburg Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.40 goals per match.

Aschaffenburg's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Ingolstadt II conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

Solid form: Aschaffenburg remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Aschaffenburg VS Ingolstadt II
2 Goals Scored 1.38
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Aschaffenburg

(Home)
02 Oct
Weiden
1 : 1
Aschaffenburg
25 Sept
Aschaffenburg
2 : 2
Bayern Hof
18 Sept
TSV Kornburg
1 : 2
Aschaffenburg
15 Sept
Aschaffenburg
1 : 2
Wurzburger FV
12 Sept
Aschaffenburg
1 : 3
ASV Neumarkt
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Ingolstadt II

(Away)
03 Oct
ASV Neumarkt
1 : 2
Ingolstadt II
25 Sept
Ingolstadt II
0 : 2
DJK Ammerthal
19 Sept
DJK Don Bosco Bamberg
0 : 0
Ingolstadt II
13 Sept
Ingolstadt II
2 : 2
Cham
05 Sept
Bamberg
4 : 1
Ingolstadt II
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cham 13 11 1 1 30:8 34
2 Wurzburger FV 13 8 2 3 25:16 26
3 Gebenbach 13 8 2 3 22:13 26
4 Bamberg 13 7 3 3 22:11 24
5 Regensburg II 13 6 4 3 28:22 22
6 TSV Kornburg 13 5 6 2 23:13 21
7 Fortuna Regensburg 13 6 3 4 31:21 21
8 Bayern Hof 13 5 5 3 26:21 20
9 Stadeln 13 5 4 4 17:20 19
10 Aschaffenburg 13 5 3 5 25:20 18
11 Neudrossenfeld 13 5 1 7 16:22 16
12 DJK Ammerthal 13 4 2 7 16:25 14
13 Ingolstadt II 13 3 4 6 20:26 13
14 Weiden 13 3 3 7 20:29 12
15 DJK Don Bosco Bamberg 13 2 5 6 13:27 11
16 Grossbardorf 13 3 1 9 12:25 10
17 Nordlingen 13 2 4 7 12:26 10
18 ASV Neumarkt 13 1 3 9 10:23 6
Promotion - Regionalliga Bayern 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Regionalliga Bayern (Relegation)
Relegation - Oberliga Bayern Nord (Relegation)