Sport Picks
Match Events
84'
84'
Ghetti D.
89'
89'
Curzi M.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Primavera 2 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
29%
30%
41%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Spezia U19
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
29%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Spezia U19 lately — more wins on the board than Ascoli U19.
- Ascoli U19 are the model's pick here, at 70%.
- Regular Primavera 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Ascoli U19 Clean Sheet 14%
Spezia U19 Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ascoli U19 | Spezia U19 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 30 |
| Wins | 7 | 15 |
| Draws | 10 | 4 |
| Losses | 14 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.55 | 1.87 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.74 | 1.33 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.81 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 5, 2026 Primavera 2
Ascoli U19 vs Spezia U19
1:1
Feb 14, 2026 Primavera 2
Spezia U19 vs Ascoli U19
4:0
Sep 20, 2025 Primavera 2
Ascoli U19 vs Spezia U19
2:3
Apr 27, 2025 Primavera 2
Spezia U19 vs Ascoli U19
0:2
Sep 28, 2024 Primavera 2
Ascoli U19 vs Spezia U19
2:5
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Ascoli U19 Compare
Top Goalscorer Curzi M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91
Spezia U19 Compare
Top Goalscorer Ghetti D.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Ascoli U19 66 / 100
Spezia U19 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Ascoli U19 Spezia U19
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Ascoli U19 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Ascoli U19 found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (31 games).
Games between these two average 4.00 goals.
Spezia U19's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.
Solid form: Ascoli U19 remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Ascoli U19 VS Spezia U19
1.88 Goals Scored 1
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Ascoli U19
(Home) 19 Sept
Ascoli U19
2 : 2 Napoli U19
12 Sept
Bari U19
2 : 1 Ascoli U19
05 Sept
Ascoli U19
1 : 1 Spezia U19
22 Aug
Ascoli U19
4 : 1 Latina U19
09 May
Ascoli U19
1 : 2 Empoli U19
Page 1 of 7
19 Sept
Ascoli U19
2 : 2 Napoli U19
05 Sept
Ascoli U19
1 : 1 Spezia U19
22 Aug
Ascoli U19
4 : 1 Latina U19
09 May
Ascoli U19
1 : 2 Empoli U19
24 Apr
Ascoli U19
2 : 3 Pescara U19
Page 1 of 4
Spezia U19
(Away) 19 Sept
Pisa U19
0 : 3 Spezia U19
12 Sept
Spezia U19
2 : 3 Palermo U19
05 Sept
Ascoli U19
1 : 1 Spezia U19
09 May
Pisa U19
2 : 1 Spezia U19
02 May
Spezia U19
2 : 1 Ternana U19
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Pisa U19
0 : 3 Spezia U19
05 Sept
Ascoli U19
1 : 1 Spezia U19
09 May
Pisa U19
2 : 1 Spezia U19
25 Apr
Benevento U19
1 : 0 Spezia U19
18 Apr
Empoli U19
4 : 0 Spezia U19
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Renate U19 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8:3 | 7 |
| 2 | Vicenza U19 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6:1 | 7 |
| 3 | Cremonese U19 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8:5 | 6 |
| 4 | Entella U19 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8:5 | 6 |
| 5 | Padova U19 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6:4 | 6 |
| 6 | Mantova U19 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4:1 | 5 |
| 7 | Sampdoria U19 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7:5 | 5 |
| 8 | Modena U19 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10:8 | 4 |
| 9 | Venezia U19 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7:6 | 4 |
| 10 | Union Brescia U19 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6:6 | 4 |
| 11 | Cittadella U19 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8:10 | 3 |
| 12 | Udinese U19 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5:10 | 3 |
| 13 | Sudtirol U19 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0:3 | 2 |
| 14 | Reggiana U19 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:4 | 1 |
| 15 | Pro Vercelli U19 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0:6 | 1 |
| 16 | Lecco U19 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:8 | 1 |
Promotion - Primavera 1 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Primavera 2 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Primavera 2 (Play Out)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Perugia U19 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12:2 | 9 |
| 2 | Catanzaro U19 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11:2 | 9 |
| 3 | Avellino U19 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8:3 | 9 |
| 4 | Bari U19 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8:3 | 7 |
| 5 | Palermo U19 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8:5 | 7 |
| 6 | Benevento U19 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9:3 | 6 |
| 7 | Spezia U19 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6:4 | 4 |
| 8 | Monopoli U19 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6:5 | 4 |
| 9 | Pescara U19 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6:6 | 4 |
| 10 | Latina U19 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5:6 | 3 |
| 11 | Pisa U19 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5:8 | 3 |
| 12 | Ascoli U19 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4:5 | 2 |
| 13 | Napoli U19 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5:8 | 1 |
| 14 | Frosinone U19 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:12 | 0 |
| 15 | Cosenza U19 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:11 | 0 |
| 16 | Salernitana U19 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:14 | 0 |
Promotion - Primavera 1 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Primavera 2 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Primavera 2 (Play Out)
