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Ascoli U20 vs Gubbio U20

Italy Italy

Primavera - Group C 2011/2012
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Primavera - Group C 2011/2012 game between Ascoli U20 and Gubbio U20 finished 5-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ascoli U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Ascoli U20
15%
Draws
0%
Gubbio U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ascoli U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Gubbio U20 haven't matched Ascoli U20's recent run of results.
  • Ascoli U20 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Ascoli U20 Clean Sheet 20%
Gubbio U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ascoli U20 Gubbio U20
Matches Played 35 26
Wins 14 2
Draws 5 5
Losses 16 19
Goals Scored 1.43 0.65
Goals Conceded 2 2.85
Expected Goals (xG) 1.67 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 21, 2012 Primavera - Group C
Ascoli U20 vs Gubbio U20
5:1
Sep 17, 2011 Primavera - Group C
Gubbio U20 vs Ascoli U20
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ascoli U20 85 / 100
Gubbio U20 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ascoli U20 Gubbio U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ascoli U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Gubbio U20 conceded in 92% of 26 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.

Gubbio U20's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Attacking prowess: Ascoli U20 scored in 69% of their last 35 outings.

Scoring Trends

Ascoli U20 VS -
2.13 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Ascoli U20

(Home)
20 Apr
Pescara U20
1 : 2
Ascoli U20
13 Apr
Ascoli U20
0 : 4
Catania U20
06 Apr
Lanciano U20
1 : 3
Ascoli U20
03 Apr
Ascoli U20
1 : 4
Palermo U20
23 Mar
Ascoli U20
0 : 2
Juve Stabia U20
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Gubbio U20

(Away)
21 Apr
AS Roma U20
4 : 0
Gubbio U20
14 Apr
Gubbio U20
1 : 2
Napoli U20
04 Apr
Reggina U20
5 : 0
Gubbio U20
31 Mar
Gubbio U20
1 : 5
Crotone U20
24 Mar
Nocerina U20
3 : 1
Gubbio U20
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AS Roma U20 26 22 4 0 95:23 70
2 Lazio U20 26 19 5 2 93:20 62
3 Palermo U20 26 18 4 4 60:31 58
4 Catania U20 26 15 1 10 48:39 46
5 Napoli U20 26 13 6 7 41:38 45
6 Reggina U20 26 11 7 8 36:25 40
7 Lecce U20 26 12 3 11 53:58 39
8 Ascoli U20 26 9 3 14 34:59 30
9 Juve Stabia U20 26 4 13 9 28:36 25
10 Nocerina U20 26 7 4 15 37:64 25
11 Bari U20 26 6 6 14 39:55 24
12 Pescara U20 26 4 6 16 26:56 18
13 Crotone U20 26 3 7 16 36:65 16
14 Gubbio U20 26 2 5 19 17:74 11
Promotion - Primavera - Final Stage 2011/2012 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Primavera - Final Stage 2011/2012 (Qualification)