Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ascoli vs Benevento - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie B Stadio Cino e Lillo Del Duca, Ascoli Piceno
Our Tip

Match Events

20'
Prisco A.
42'
Rizzo N.
42'
Prisco A.

AI Match Summary

The Serie B game between Ascoli and Benevento finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ascoli.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Ascoli
20%
Draws
33%
Benevento
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ascoli

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Benevento haven't matched Ascoli's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Serie B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Ascoli Clean Sheet 15%
Benevento Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ascoli Benevento
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 18 16
Draws 3 6
Losses 6 6
Goals Scored 1.7 1.75
Goals Conceded 0.78 1.11
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Serie B
Ascoli vs Benevento
1:0
Feb 26, 2023 Serie B
Ascoli vs Benevento
0:0
Oct 2, 2022 Serie B
Benevento vs Ascoli
1:1
May 13, 2022 Serie B
Ascoli vs Benevento
0:1
Feb 16, 2022 Serie B
Benevento vs Ascoli
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ascoli 30 / 100
Benevento 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ascoli Benevento

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ascoli Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ascoli scored in 85% of their last 27 games.

Benevento let in goals in 68% of their last 28 matches.

Solid form: Ascoli remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Games between these two average 1.20 goals.

Scoring Trends

Ascoli VS Benevento
1.5 Goals Scored 1.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Ascoli

(Home)
19 Sept
Ascoli
3 : 1
Avellino
12 Sept
Padova
1 : 0
Ascoli
05 Sept
Ascoli
1 : 0
Benevento
29 Aug
Ascoli
1 : 1
Carrarese
23 Aug
Verona
1 : 2
Ascoli
Page 1 of 6

Benevento

(Away)
02 Oct
Frosinone
2 : 1
Benevento
19 Sept
Carrarese
0 : 1
Benevento
11 Sept
Benevento
3 : 1
Verona
05 Sept
Ascoli
1 : 0
Benevento
30 Aug
Benevento
1 : 1
Sudtirol
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Palermo 5 4 1 0 10:5 13
2 Sudtirol 5 3 2 0 9:3 11
3 Mantova 5 3 2 0 10:5 11
4 Ascoli 5 3 1 1 7:4 10
5 Avellino 6 3 1 2 11:7 10
6 Modena 5 3 1 1 8:4 10
7 Padova 5 2 1 2 5:6 7
8 Benevento 5 2 1 2 6:5 7
9 Verona 5 2 1 2 10:7 7
10 Cesena 5 1 4 0 7:6 7
11 Pisa 5 2 1 2 8:8 7
12 Arezzo 5 2 0 3 6:13 6
13 Empoli 5 2 0 3 4:6 6
14 Entella 5 1 2 2 7:6 5
15 Cremonese 5 1 2 2 5:7 5
16 Vicenza 5 1 2 2 7:10 5
17 Sampdoria 6 1 1 4 6:13 4
18 Catanzaro 5 1 0 4 5:9 3
19 Juve Stabia 5 1 2 2 4:7 1
20 Carrarese 5 0 1 4 2:6 1
Promotion - Serie A 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Serie B (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie B (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie B (Play Out)