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Ascoli vs Benevento

Italy Italy

Serie B Stadio Cino e Lillo Del Duca, Ascoli Piceno
Sat, Sep 5, 2026
VS
03:15 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ascoli host Benevento in the Serie B. Little to choose between these two on current form. Ascoli have averaged 1.85 scored and 0.89 conceded recently, against Benevento's 2.03 scored and 1 conceded. Head-to-head, Ascoli have won 1 to Benevento's 2, with 2 draws. They last met on Feb 26, 2023, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 1.48 vs 1.18, favoring Benevento. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Ascoli
15%
Draws
46%
Benevento
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Benevento

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Ascoli haven't matched Benevento's recent run of results.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Ascoli taking it.
  • Regular Serie B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Ascoli Clean Sheet 20%
Benevento Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ascoli Benevento
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 18 19
Draws 3 6
Losses 6 4
Goals Scored 1.85 2.03
Goals Conceded 0.89 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 1.18
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 26, 2023 Serie B
Ascoli vs Benevento
0:0
Oct 2, 2022 Serie B
Benevento vs Ascoli
1:1
May 13, 2022 Serie B
Ascoli vs Benevento
0:1
Feb 16, 2022 Serie B
Benevento vs Ascoli
0:2
Sep 18, 2021 Serie B
Ascoli vs Benevento
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ascoli 36 / 100
Benevento 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ascoli Benevento

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ascoli scored in 85% of their last 27 games.

Benevento let in goals in 59% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.40 goals per match.

Ascoli went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ascoli VS Benevento
1.25 Goals Scored 1.86
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.71
50% Over 1.5 86%
38% Over 2.5 71%
13% Over 3.5 43%

Recent Form & Match History

Ascoli

(Home)
23 Aug
Verona
1 : 2
Ascoli
16 Aug
Genoa
4 : 1
Ascoli
08 Aug
Ascoli
3 : 1
Potenza
02 Aug
Ascoli
1 : 2
Lazio
26 Jul
Frosinone
1 : 0
Ascoli
Page 1 of 6

Benevento

(Away)
22 Aug
Benevento
1 : 2
Modena
14 Aug
Fiorentina
4 : 1
Benevento
09 Aug
Benevento
5 : 3
Ravenna
01 Aug
Frosinone
2 : 2
Benevento
31 Jul
Vis Pesaro
1 : 2
Benevento
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vicenza 1 1 0 0 3:2 3
2 Ascoli 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
3 Mantova 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
4 Modena 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
5 Arezzo 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
6 Padova 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
7 Sudtirol 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
8 Palermo 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
9 Empoli 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
10 Cesena 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
11 Sampdoria 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
12 Catanzaro 1 0 0 1 2:3 0
13 Avellino 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
14 Carrarese 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
15 Benevento 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
16 Verona 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
17 Pisa 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
18 Cremonese 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
19 Entella 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
20 Juve Stabia 1 0 0 1 0:1 -2
Promotion - Serie A 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Serie B (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie B (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie B (Play Out)