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Ascoli vs Grosseto

World World

Club Friendly
Thu, Jul 23, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ascoli host Grosseto in the Club Friendly. Little to choose between these two on current form. Recent numbers: Ascoli at 1.85 goals for, 0.89 against; Grosseto at 1.46 for, 0.96 against. Past meetings favor Grosseto slightly — 0-2-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jul 23, 2026, ending 0:0. The numbers (1.25 xG vs 0.88) point toward Ascoli. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Ascoli
30%
Draws
35%
Grosseto
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ascoli come out ahead of Grosseto on wins alone.
  • 35% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Ascoli Clean Sheet 20%
Grosseto Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ascoli Grosseto
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 18 13
Draws 3 7
Losses 6 8
Goals Scored 1.85 1.46
Goals Conceded 0.89 0.96
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 23, 2026 Club Friendly
Ascoli vs Grosseto
0:0
Apr 11, 2015 Serie C - Group B
Grosseto vs Ascoli
1:1
Nov 29, 2014 Serie C - Group B
Ascoli vs Grosseto
1:1
Feb 9, 2014 Lega Pro C1/B
Ascoli vs Grosseto
0:1
Oct 23, 2013 Coppa Italia Serie C
Ascoli vs Grosseto
0:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ascoli 36 / 100
Grosseto 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ascoli Grosseto

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Grosseto Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Ascoli scored in 85% of their last 27 outings.

Defensive concern: Grosseto conceded in 64% of 28 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Ascoli has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Ascoli VS Grosseto
1.25 Goals Scored 1.25
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Ascoli

(Home)
23 Aug
Verona
1 : 2
Ascoli
16 Aug
Genoa
4 : 1
Ascoli
08 Aug
Ascoli
3 : 1
Potenza
02 Aug
Ascoli
1 : 2
Lazio
26 Jul
Frosinone
1 : 0
Ascoli
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Grosseto

(Away)
23 Aug
Grosseto
1 : 1
Spezia
14 Aug
Grosseto
2 : 3
Guidonia 1937
08 Aug
Grosseto
3 : 1
Terranuova Traiana
05 Aug
Grosseto
2 : 2
Tau
02 Aug
Perugia
1 : 1
Grosseto
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