Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ascoli vs Union Brescia

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 Stadio Cino e Lillo Del Duca, Ascoli Piceno
Ascoli Logo

Ascoli

3 - 0
FT
Union Brescia Logo

Union Brescia

Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Rizzo Pinna A.
21'
Nicoletti M.
25'
De Maria V.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Ascoli in this Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 tie, finishing 3-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Ascoli
20%
Draws
52%
Union Brescia
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Union Brescia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Ascoli have won more games recently than Union Brescia.
  • Model gives Union Brescia a 52% chance of winning this.
  • Ascoli have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Ascoli, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Ascoli Clean Sheet 18%
Union Brescia Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ascoli Union Brescia
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 17 13
Draws 5 10
Losses 6 5
Goals Scored 1.68 1.29
Goals Conceded 0.82 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 7, 2026 Serie C - Group A
Ascoli vs Union Brescia
3:0
Jun 3, 2026 Serie C - Group A
Union Brescia vs Ascoli
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ascoli Compare

Top Goalscorer Rizzo Pinna A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Silipo A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Union Brescia Compare

Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ascoli 20 / 100
Union Brescia 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ascoli Union Brescia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Union Brescia Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Ascoli scored in 82% of their last 28 outings.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Solid form: Ascoli remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Union Brescia's defensive record shows goals conceded in 54% of 28 matches.

Scoring Trends

Ascoli VS Union Brescia
1.38 Goals Scored 1.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Ascoli

(Home)
12 Sept
Padova
1 : 0
Ascoli
05 Sept
Ascoli
1 : 0
Benevento
29 Aug
Ascoli
1 : 1
Carrarese
23 Aug
Verona
1 : 2
Ascoli
16 Aug
Genoa
4 : 1
Ascoli
Page 1 of 6

Union Brescia

(Away)
13 Sept
Trento
0 : 0
Union Brescia
06 Sept
Union Brescia
1 : 0
Desenzano Calvina
02 Sept
Union Brescia
5 : 2
Giana Erminio
30 Aug
Pergolettese
0 : 1
Union Brescia
21 Aug
Union Brescia
3 : 1
Carpi
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Casertana 1
Atalanta U23 0
Crotone 1
Audace Cerignola 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Salernitana -
Cittadella 2
Arzignano 2
Lumezzane 0
Alcione Milano 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ravenna -
Cosenza -
TBD -
Monopoli 0
Casarano 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Renate -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Union Brescia -
Campobasso -
TBD -
Pineto 2
Gubbio 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Potenza -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ascoli -
Juventus U23 2
Vis Pesaro 2
Pianese 1
Ternana 1
Lecco -
TBD -
Trento 1
Giana Erminio 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Catania -
1/16-finals
Casertana 1
Crotone 1
TBD -
Salernitana -
Cittadella 1
Lumezzane 0
TBD -
Ravenna -
Cosenza 1
Casarano 5
TBD -
Renate -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Union Brescia -
Campobasso 1
Pineto 1
TBD -
Potenza -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ascoli -
Juventus U23 0
Pianese 2
Lecco 2
Giana Erminio 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Catania -
1/8-finals
Casertana 3
Salernitana 4
Cittadella 3
Ravenna 3
Casarano 3
Renate 2
TBD -
Union Brescia -
Campobasso 1
Potenza 6
TBD -
Ascoli -
Pianese 2
Lecco 2
TBD -
Catania -
Quarter-finals
Salernitana 4
Ravenna 0
Casarano 0
Union Brescia 3
Potenza 0
Ascoli 1
Lecco 3
Catania 3
Semi-finals
Salernitana 1
Union Brescia 3
Ascoli 5
Catania 2
Final
Union Brescia 1
Ascoli 4