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Ascona vs Bellinzona

Switzerland Switzerland

Swiss Cup 2006/2007
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-5, with Bellinzona advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Ascona
15%
Draws
21%
Bellinzona
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ascona

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

21% / Low Confidence
  • Bellinzona carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Bellinzona are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Bellinzona arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Bellinzona, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Ascona Clean Sheet 18%
Bellinzona Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ascona Bellinzona
Matches Played 6 30
Wins 1 5
Draws 0 5
Losses 5 20
Goals Scored 1 1.33
Goals Conceded 2.83 2.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.79 1.36
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 26, 2006 Swiss Cup
Ascona vs Bellinzona
1:5

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ascona 28 / 100
Bellinzona 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ascona Bellinzona

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bellinzona Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ascona's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 6 recent games.

Bellinzona's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 6.00 goals.

Bellinzona's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Bellinzona
0 Goals Scored 1.63
0 Goals Conceded 2.38
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Ascona

(Home)
26 Aug
Locarno
4 : 0
Ascona
26 Feb
Paradiso
1 : 2
Ascona
18 Aug
Ascona
1 : 2
Locarno
17 Sept
Ascona
1 : 2
Chiasso
26 Aug
Ascona
1 : 5
Bellinzona
Page 1 of 2

Bellinzona

(Away)
29 Aug
Cham
1 : 1
Bellinzona
22 Aug
Schaffhausen
1 : 0
Bellinzona
18 Aug
Bellinzona
2 : 3
Basel II
14 Aug
Rotkreuz
4 : 1
Bellinzona
09 Aug
Amical Saint-Prex
1 : 0
Bellinzona
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Basel 3
FC Baulmes 2
Winterthur 1
Aarau 2
Young Boys 3
Sion 0
Chiasso 2
Wil 2
Zurich 5
Yverdon 2
Delemont 1
St. Gallen 3
Grasshoppers 1
Thun 0
Schaffhausen 0
Luzern 2
Quarter-finals
Basel 1
Aarau 0
Young Boys 1
Wil 2
Zurich 1
St. Gallen 0
Grasshoppers 1
Luzern 3
Semi-finals
Basel 3
Wil 1
Zurich 2
Luzern 3
Final
Basel 1
Luzern 0