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ASD Giarre vs Cavese - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group I 2021/2022
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Baglione S.

AI Match Summary

ASD Giarre in this Serie D - Group I 2021/2022 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored ASD Giarre.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
ASD Giarre
30%
Draws
27%
Cavese
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: ASD Giarre

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Cavese lately — more wins on the board than ASD Giarre.
  • Win probability leans ASD Giarre's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group I 2021/2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 14%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
ASD Giarre Clean Sheet 68%
Cavese Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric ASD Giarre Cavese
Matches Played 28 33
Wins 8 11
Draws 11 11
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 1.04 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 16, 2022 Serie D - Group I
ASD Giarre vs Cavese
1:0
Oct 10, 2021 Serie D - Group I
Cavese vs ASD Giarre
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

ASD Giarre Compare

Top Goalscorer Baglione S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.48

Cavese Compare

Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.58

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

ASD Giarre 95 / 100
Cavese 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
ASD Giarre Cavese

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ASD Giarre Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

ASD Giarre has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Attacking prowess: ASD Giarre scored in 61% of their last 28 outings.

Cavese's defensive record shows goals conceded in 61% of 33 matches.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Scoring Trends

- VS Cavese
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 0.75
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

ASD Giarre

(Home)
22 May
Licata
1 : 3
ASD Giarre
15 May
ASD Giarre
5 : 1
San Luca
08 May
Biancavilla
1 : 4
ASD Giarre
27 Apr
ASD Giarre
1 : 1
Licata
24 Apr
Castrovillari
0 : 0
ASD Giarre
Page 1 of 6

Cavese

(Away)
03 Oct
Cavese
2 : 0
Casertana
26 Sept
Cavese
4 : 2
A.C. Savoia
20 Sept
Potenza
4 : 2
Cavese
15 Sept
Cavese
2 : 3
Sorrento
12 Sept
Cosenza
0 : 0
Cavese
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gelbison 36 23 9 4 63:23 78
2 Cavese 36 23 8 5 58:21 77
3 AS Acireale 36 19 12 5 58:31 69
4 Lamezia Terme 36 20 9 7 58:35 69
5 S. Agata 36 16 12 8 47:31 60
6 Paterno 36 14 10 12 45:41 52
7 Cittanovese 36 16 4 16 48:56 52
8 Santa Maria Cilento 36 14 9 13 58:50 51
9 Licata 36 13 11 12 57:45 50
10 Real Normanna 36 13 10 13 36:34 49
11 Portici 1906 36 12 8 16 42:44 44
12 Trapani 36 9 14 13 44:47 41
13 San Luca 36 9 14 13 45:52 41
14 Sancataldese 36 11 7 18 34:60 40
15 ASD Giarre 36 9 12 15 33:42 39
16 Castrovillari 36 9 11 16 39:48 38
17 Rende 36 9 9 18 35:50 36
18 Troina 36 9 8 19 39:71 29
19 Biancavilla 36 3 5 28 25:83 14
20 FC Messina 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2021/2022 (Winners stage)
Promotion - Serie D - Group I 2021/2022 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group I 2021/2022 (Play Out)