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ASD Giarre vs San Luca - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group I 2021/2022
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Arcidiacono P.
22' Event
Cocimano S.
37' Event
Crucitti A.

AI Match Summary

ASD Giarre in this Serie D - Group I 2021/2022 matchup, with the score ending 5-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored ASD Giarre.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

63%
ASD Giarre
20%
Draws
17%
San Luca
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: ASD Giarre

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

63% / High Confidence
  • San Luca average 1.36 goals a game right now, well clear of ASD Giarre's 1.04.
  • ASD Giarre are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
ASD Giarre Clean Sheet 19%
San Luca Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric ASD Giarre San Luca
Matches Played 28 36
Wins 8 8
Draws 11 12
Losses 9 16
Goals Scored 1.04 1.36
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.69
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 15, 2022 Serie D - Group I
ASD Giarre vs San Luca
5:1
Dec 22, 2021 Serie D - Group I
San Luca vs ASD Giarre
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

ASD Giarre Compare

Top Goalscorer Cocimano S.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Arcidiacono P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.71
Avg xA / game 0.46

San Luca Compare

Top Goalscorer Crucitti A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.13
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

ASD Giarre 85 / 100
San Luca 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
ASD Giarre San Luca

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ASD Giarre Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 5.50 goals as a typical output.

ASD Giarre has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

ASD Giarre found the back of the net in 61% of recent matches (28 games).

San Luca let in goals in 78% of their last 36 matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS San Luca
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 0.63
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

ASD Giarre

(Home)
22 May
Licata
1 : 3
ASD Giarre
15 May
ASD Giarre
5 : 1
San Luca
08 May
Biancavilla
1 : 4
ASD Giarre
27 Apr
ASD Giarre
1 : 1
Licata
24 Apr
Castrovillari
0 : 0
ASD Giarre
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San Luca

(Away)
12 May
San Luca
0 : 2
Locri 1909
05 May
Canicatti
4 : 2
San Luca
28 Apr
San Luca
0 : 1
Real Casalnuovo
21 Apr
Akragas
1 : 2
San Luca
14 Apr
San Luca
0 : 1
Vibonese
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gelbison 36 23 9 4 63:23 78
2 Cavese 36 23 8 5 58:21 77
3 AS Acireale 36 19 12 5 58:31 69
4 Lamezia Terme 36 20 9 7 58:35 69
5 S. Agata 36 16 12 8 47:31 60
6 Paterno 36 14 10 12 45:41 52
7 Cittanovese 36 16 4 16 48:56 52
8 Santa Maria Cilento 36 14 9 13 58:50 51
9 Licata 36 13 11 12 57:45 50
10 Real Normanna 36 13 10 13 36:34 49
11 Portici 1906 36 12 8 16 42:44 44
12 Trapani 36 9 14 13 44:47 41
13 San Luca 36 9 14 13 45:52 41
14 Sancataldese 36 11 7 18 34:60 40
15 ASD Giarre 36 9 12 15 33:42 39
16 Castrovillari 36 9 11 16 39:48 38
17 Rende 36 9 9 18 35:50 36
18 Troina 36 9 8 19 39:71 29
19 Biancavilla 36 3 5 28 25:83 14
20 FC Messina 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2021/2022 (Winners stage)
Promotion - Serie D - Group I 2021/2022 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group I 2021/2022 (Play Out)