Sport Picks

Stadium Background

ASD Ugento vs Martina Calcio

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group H 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Teyou F.
66'
Resouf S.
90' Event
Signorile S.

AI Match Summary

ASD Ugento in this Serie D - Group H 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored ASD Ugento.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
ASD Ugento
15%
Draws
39%
Martina Calcio
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: ASD Ugento

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Martina Calcio have won more games recently than ASD Ugento.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
ASD Ugento Clean Sheet 15%
Martina Calcio Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric ASD Ugento Martina Calcio
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 9 16
Draws 5 6
Losses 16 10
Goals Scored 1.03 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.63 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.55
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 13, 2025 Serie D - Group H
ASD Ugento vs Martina Calcio
2:0
Dec 1, 2024 Serie D - Group H
Martina Calcio vs ASD Ugento
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

ASD Ugento Compare

Top Goalscorer Teyou F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Signorile S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65

Martina Calcio Compare

Avg xG / game 1.41
Avg xA / game 0.86

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

ASD Ugento 31 / 100
Martina Calcio 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
ASD Ugento Martina Calcio

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Martina Calcio Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: ASD Ugento scored in 60% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: ASD Ugento remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Difficult form: Martina Calcio registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Martina Calcio
0 Goals Scored 2
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

ASD Ugento

(Home)
11 May
ASD Ugento
0 : 1
Manfredonia
04 May
Virtus Francavilla
1 : 1
ASD Ugento
27 Apr
ASD Ugento
1 : 4
Matera
17 Apr
Citta di Fasano
0 : 2
ASD Ugento
13 Apr
ASD Ugento
2 : 0
Martina Calcio
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Martina Calcio

(Away)
17 May
Martina Calcio
0 : 1
Paganese
10 May
Martina Calcio
2 : 1
A.C.D. Nardo
03 May
SS Nola 1925
2 : 1
Martina Calcio
26 Apr
Martina Calcio
2 : 1
Heraclea
19 Apr
Citta di Fasano
1 : 0
Martina Calcio
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Casarano 34 21 11 2 72:30 74
2 Nocerina 34 20 10 4 64:27 70
3 Martina Calcio 34 17 11 6 48:28 62
4 Fidelis Andria 34 16 9 9 41:29 57
5 Citta di Fasano 34 13 11 10 45:32 50
6 Matera 34 12 13 9 51:47 49
7 Virtus Francavilla 34 12 11 11 41:34 47
8 A.C.D. Nardo 34 13 8 13 47:45 47
9 Ischia 34 11 12 11 39:45 45
10 Palmese 1914 34 10 12 12 41:45 42
11 Gravina 34 11 9 14 43:46 42
12 Francavilla 34 11 8 15 28:34 41
13 Acerrana 34 11 8 15 37:50 41
14 ASD Ugento 34 10 7 17 33:51 37
15 Manfredonia 34 8 11 15 33:51 35
16 Brindisi 34 9 14 11 44:43 27
17 Angri 34 6 8 20 35:69 26
18 Costa Amalfi 34 3 11 20 26:62 20
Promotion - Serie D - Group H 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group H 2024/2025 (Play Out)