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Asenovets vs Chernomorets Burgas Sofia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - South-East 2015/2016
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AI Match Summary

The Third League - South-East 2015/2016 game between Asenovets and Chernomorets Burgas Sofia finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Asenovets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Asenovets
15%
Draws
42%
Chernomorets Burgas Sofia
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Asenovets

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Asenovets carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Chernomorets Burgas Sofia a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Third League - South-East 2015/2016 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Asenovets Clean Sheet 15%
Chernomorets Burgas Sofia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Asenovets Chernomorets Burgas Sofia
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 6 5
Draws 4 1
Losses 22 24
Goals Scored 0.97 1.17
Goals Conceded 2.59 3.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 7, 2016 Third League - South-East
Asenovets vs Chernomorets Burgas Sofia
3:0
Nov 2, 2015 Third League - South-East
Chernomorets Burgas Sofia vs Asenovets
5:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Asenovets 11 / 100
Chernomorets Burgas Sofia 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Asenovets Chernomorets Burgas Sofia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chernomorets Burgas Sofia Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chernomorets Burgas Sofia has conceded goals in 93% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 6.00 goals as a typical output.

Asenovets's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Difficult form: Chernomorets Burgas Sofia registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Asenovets VS Chernomorets Burgas Sofia
0.75 Goals Scored 0
2.13 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Asenovets

(Home)
27 May
Nesebar
8 : 1
Asenovets
23 May
Asenovets
4 : 2
Rozova Dolina
16 May
Atletik Kuklen
2 : 1
Asenovets
13 May
Asenovets
0 : 2
Gigant Saedinenie
09 May
Maritsa Milevo
4 : 0
Asenovets
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Chernomorets Burgas Sofia

(Away)
08 Jul
Ludogorets II
2 : 0
Chernomorets Burgas Sofia
13 Jul
Gorna
1 : 0
Chernomorets Burgas Sofia
09 Jul
Cherno More
2 : 0
Chernomorets Burgas Sofia
28 Jun
Dobrudzha
3 : 1
Chernomorets Burgas Sofia
20 Jul
Sozopol
0 : 2
Chernomorets Burgas Sofia
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nesebar 34 29 3 2 88:20 90
2 Rozova Dolina 34 24 4 6 81:30 76
3 Zagorets 33 22 6 5 64:20 72
4 Uragan Boyadzhik 34 20 4 10 93:45 64
5 Dimitrovgrad 34 18 8 8 61:38 62
6 Gigant Saedinenie 34 18 4 12 67:58 58
7 Svilengrad 1921 33 17 5 11 72:53 56
8 Asenovets 34 15 8 11 57:46 53
9 Maritsa Plovdiv 34 14 9 11 45:29 51
10 Evrokolezh 34 14 4 16 69:74 46
11 Karnobat 34 13 4 17 56:56 43
12 Spartak Plovdiv 34 12 6 16 36:38 42
13 Levski Karlovo 34 11 2 21 43:75 35
14 Rakovski 2011 34 10 4 20 45:68 34
15 Borislav Parvomay 34 6 11 17 34:59 29
16 Radnevo 34 8 3 23 32:84 27
17 Chernomorets Burgas Sofia 34 6 4 24 42:100 22
18 Sliven 34 3 1 30 20:112 10
Promotion - Vtora liga 2016/2017 (Main)