Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Aserri vs CS Uruguay

Costa Rica Costa Rica

Liga de Ascenso 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

32' Event
Jimenez P.
67'
Fernandez J.

AI Match Summary

The Liga de Ascenso 2025/2026 game between Aserri and CS Uruguay finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Aserri.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Aserri
35%
Draws
19%
CS Uruguay
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Aserri

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and CS Uruguay come out ahead of Aserri on wins alone.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Liga de Ascenso 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Aserri Clean Sheet 15%
CS Uruguay Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aserri CS Uruguay
Matches Played 25 26
Wins 4 8
Draws 10 7
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 0.96 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.88 1.65
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 10, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
Aserri vs CS Uruguay
1:0
Jan 17, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
CS Uruguay vs Aserri
2:2
Oct 9, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
CS Uruguay vs Aserri
1:1
Aug 23, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
Aserri vs CS Uruguay
0:0
Mar 9, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
CS Uruguay vs Aserri
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aserri Compare

Top Goalscorer Jimenez P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

CS Uruguay Compare

Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aserri 31 / 100
CS Uruguay 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aserri CS Uruguay

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aserri found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (25 games).

CS Uruguay let in goals in 77% of their last 26 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Aserri stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Aserri VS CS Uruguay
0.75 Goals Scored 1.13
2 Goals Conceded 1.63
50% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Aserri

(Home)
15 Aug
Guadalupe
0 : 2
Aserri
01 Aug
Santa Ana
1 : 0
Aserri
12 Apr
Aserri
2 : 2
Cariari Pococi
04 Apr
Escorpiones
8 : 0
Aserri
31 Mar
Aserri
0 : 0
Carmelita
Page 1 of 5

CS Uruguay

(Away)
18 Aug
Pitbulls
2 : 1
CS Uruguay
08 Aug
CS Uruguay
0 : 1
Cariari Pococi
02 Aug
CS Uruguay
2 : 2
Carmelita
26 Apr
Quepos FC
0 : 0
CS Uruguay
19 Apr
CS Uruguay
2 : 5
Quepos FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 ADR Jicaral 14 9 3 2 25:12 30
2 Inter San Carlos 14 8 4 2 25:14 28
3 Quepos FC 14 9 1 4 30:21 28
4 Santa Cruz 14 4 5 5 19:17 17
5 Grecia 14 4 5 5 16:18 17
6 AD Sarchi 14 4 5 5 19:23 17
7 Cofutpa 14 2 4 8 14:27 10
8 Dep. Upala 14 0 5 9 15:31 5
9 Municipal Turrialba 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Liga de Ascenso 2025/2026 (Clausura - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Escorpiones 14 10 2 2 33:10 32
2 CS Uruguay 14 7 2 5 25:20 23
3 Pitbulls 14 6 4 4 20:16 22
4 FC Moravia 14 5 4 5 19:19 19
5 Cariari Pococi 14 3 6 5 19:23 15
6 Aserri 14 2 8 4 15:28 14
7 Santa Ana 13 3 3 7 19:28 12
8 Carmelita 13 2 5 6 10:16 11
9 Limon Black Star 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Liga de Ascenso 2025/2026 (Clausura - Play Offs)