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Aserri vs CS Uruguay - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Costa Rica Costa Rica

Liga de Ascenso 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

32' Event
Jimenez P.
67'
Fernandez J.

AI Match Summary

The Liga de Ascenso 2025/2026 game between Aserri and CS Uruguay finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Aserri.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Aserri
30%
Draws
29%
CS Uruguay
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Aserri

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and CS Uruguay come out ahead of Aserri on wins alone.
  • Aserri are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Regular Liga de Ascenso 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Aserri Clean Sheet 68%
CS Uruguay Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aserri CS Uruguay
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 6 10
Draws 10 6
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 1 1.37
Goals Conceded 1.82 1.59
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
CS Uruguay vs Aserri
0:1
Mar 10, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
Aserri vs CS Uruguay
1:0
Jan 17, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
CS Uruguay vs Aserri
2:2
Oct 9, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
CS Uruguay vs Aserri
1:1
Aug 23, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
Aserri vs CS Uruguay
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aserri Compare

Top Goalscorer Jimenez P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

CS Uruguay Compare

Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aserri 86 / 100
CS Uruguay 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aserri CS Uruguay

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aserri Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aserri found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (28 games).

CS Uruguay let in goals in 70% of their last 27 matches.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Recent resilience: Aserri stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Aserri VS CS Uruguay
1 Goals Scored 0.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.88
63% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Aserri

(Home)
04 Oct
Aserri
2 : 3
Guadalupe
26 Sept
FC Moravia
1 : 0
Aserri
20 Sept
Aserri
1 : 0
Santa Ana
12 Sept
CS Uruguay
0 : 1
Aserri
06 Sept
Aserri
1 : 1
Cariari Pococi
Page 1 of 6

CS Uruguay

(Away)
03 Oct
CS Uruguay
2 : 2
Pitbulls
29 Sept
Cariari Pococi
1 : 1
CS Uruguay
18 Sept
Carmelita
6 : 0
CS Uruguay
12 Sept
CS Uruguay
0 : 1
Aserri
06 Sept
Guadalupe
0 : 1
CS Uruguay
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 ADR Jicaral 14 9 3 2 25:12 30
2 Inter San Carlos 14 8 4 2 25:14 28
3 Quepos FC 14 9 1 4 30:21 28
4 Santa Cruz 14 4 5 5 19:17 17
5 Grecia 14 4 5 5 16:18 17
6 AD Sarchi 14 4 5 5 19:23 17
7 Cofutpa 14 2 4 8 14:27 10
8 Dep. Upala 14 0 5 9 15:31 5
9 Municipal Turrialba 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Liga de Ascenso 2025/2026 (Clausura - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Escorpiones 14 10 2 2 33:10 32
2 CS Uruguay 14 7 2 5 25:20 23
3 Pitbulls 14 6 4 4 20:16 22
4 FC Moravia 14 5 4 5 19:19 19
5 Cariari Pococi 14 3 6 5 19:23 15
6 Aserri 14 2 8 4 15:28 14
7 Santa Ana 13 3 3 7 19:28 12
8 Carmelita 13 2 5 6 10:16 11
9 Limon Black Star 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Liga de Ascenso 2025/2026 (Clausura - Play Offs)