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Aserri vs Guadalupe - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Costa Rica Costa Rica

Liga de Ascenso
Aserri Logo

Aserri

2 - 3
FT
Guadalupe Logo

Guadalupe

Our Tip

Match Events

35' Event
38' Event
40' Event
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Liga de Ascenso game between Aserri and Guadalupe finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Guadalupe.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Aserri
20%
Draws
29%
Guadalupe
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Aserri

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Aserri carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Aserri a 51% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Aserri Clean Sheet 68%
Guadalupe Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aserri Guadalupe
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 6 5
Draws 10 8
Losses 12 16
Goals Scored 1 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.82 2.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 4, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
Aserri vs Guadalupe
2:3
Aug 15, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
Guadalupe vs Aserri
0:2
Aug 27, 2025 Copa Costa Rica
Guadalupe vs Aserri
4:1
Aug 15, 2025 Copa Costa Rica
Aserri vs Guadalupe
4:2
Apr 13, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
Guadalupe vs Aserri
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aserri 68 / 100
Guadalupe 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aserri Guadalupe

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aserri Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Guadalupe has conceded goals in 90% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 4.20 goals when they meet.

Aserri scored in 68% of their last 28 games.

Aserri went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Aserri VS Guadalupe
1 Goals Scored 1
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.88
63% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Aserri

(Home)
04 Oct
Aserri
2 : 3
Guadalupe
26 Sept
FC Moravia
1 : 0
Aserri
20 Sept
Aserri
1 : 0
Santa Ana
12 Sept
CS Uruguay
0 : 1
Aserri
06 Sept
Aserri
1 : 1
Cariari Pococi
Page 1 of 6

Guadalupe

(Away)
04 Oct
Aserri
2 : 3
Guadalupe
27 Sept
Guadalupe
2 : 2
Pitbulls
19 Sept
Guadalupe
0 : 3
FC Moravia
13 Sept
Santa Ana
2 : 1
Guadalupe
06 Sept
Guadalupe
0 : 1
CS Uruguay
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 ADR Jicaral 9 6 3 0 15:5 21
2 Quepos FC 9 5 1 3 13:7 16
3 Grecia 8 4 2 2 9:6 14
4 AD Rosario 8 4 1 3 11:10 13
5 AD Sarchi 8 3 2 3 8:11 11
6 Santa Cruz 9 2 0 7 11:19 6
7 Cofutpa 9 1 1 7 8:17 4
Promotion - Liga de Ascenso (Apertura - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Santa Ana 10 7 0 3 14:10 21
2 Pitbulls 10 5 4 1 18:13 19
3 Carmelita 10 4 3 3 19:11 15
4 Aserri 10 4 2 4 10:11 14
5 Cariari Pococi 10 3 4 3 11:11 13
6 FC Moravia 10 3 1 6 12:13 10
7 Guadalupe 10 2 3 5 13:19 9
8 CS Uruguay 10 2 3 5 9:18 9
Promotion - Liga de Ascenso (Apertura - Play Offs)