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ASFA Yennega vs AS Douanes

Burkina Faso Burkina Faso

Premier League Stade du 4 Aout, Ouagadougou
Our Tip

Match Events

64' Event
Togo M.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between ASFA Yennega and AS Douanes finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward AS Douanes.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
ASFA Yennega
20%
Draws
51%
AS Douanes
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: AS Douanes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

29% / Low Confidence
  • ASFA Yennega haven't matched AS Douanes's recent run of results.
  • ASFA Yennega are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • AS Douanes have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%
ASFA Yennega Clean Sheet 68%
AS Douanes Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric ASFA Yennega AS Douanes
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 10
Draws 11 13
Losses 10 7
Goals Scored 0.8 0.97
Goals Conceded 0.93 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2026 Premier League
ASFA Yennega vs AS Douanes
0:1
Nov 2, 2025 Premier League
AS Douanes vs ASFA Yennega
1:1
May 10, 2025 Premier League
ASFA Yennega vs AS Douanes
0:1
Oct 14, 2024 Premier League
AS Douanes vs ASFA Yennega
2:0
May 4, 2024 Premier League
AS Douanes vs ASFA Yennega
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

ASFA Yennega Compare

Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

AS Douanes Compare

Top Goalscorer Togo M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

ASFA Yennega 50 / 100
AS Douanes 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
ASFA Yennega AS Douanes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ASFA Yennega Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

ASFA Yennega scored in 57% of their last 30 games.

AS Douanes's defensive record shows goals conceded in 57% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.40 goals.

Recent resilience: ASFA Yennega stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

ASFA Yennega VS AS Douanes
1.13 Goals Scored 0.75
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.5
50% Over 1.5 38%
38% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

ASFA Yennega

(Home)
10 May
Sonabel Ouagadougou
1 : 0
ASFA Yennega
03 May
ASFA Yennega
0 : 1
Real Du Faso
26 Apr
AJE Bobo-Dioulasso
4 : 2
ASFA Yennega
17 Apr
ASFA Yennega
1 : 1
Sporting Cascades
12 Apr
Kadiogo
0 : 1
ASFA Yennega
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AS Douanes

(Away)
10 May
AS Douanes
1 : 2
CFFEB
03 May
Salitas
2 : 1
AS Douanes
26 Apr
AS Douanes
2 : 1
Sonabel Ouagadougou
17 Apr
AS Douanes
1 : 1
AJE Bobo-Dioulasso
10 Apr
Vitesse
0 : 1
AS Douanes
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rahimo 30 20 9 1 47:15 69
2 USFA 30 12 13 5 31:17 49
3 Sporting Cascades 30 10 13 7 25:18 43
4 AS Douanes 30 10 13 7 29:29 43
5 Majestic 30 11 10 9 26:27 43
6 CFFEB 30 10 10 10 25:25 40
7 Salitas 30 10 10 10 29:31 40
8 Kadiogo 30 10 8 12 27:27 38
9 ASFA Yennega 30 9 11 10 24:28 38
10 Vitesse 30 9 10 11 25:25 37
11 Real Du Faso 30 9 10 11 21:23 37
12 ASF Dioulasso 30 9 10 11 25:31 37
13 Sonabel Ouagadougou 30 8 12 10 24:28 36
14 Etoile Filante 30 7 12 11 22:29 33
15 Bobo-Dioulasso 30 6 9 15 11:28 27
16 AJE Bobo-Dioulasso 30 6 8 16 27:37 26
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)