Sport Picks

Burkina Faso

Premier League Stade du 4 Aout

AS Douanes

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

ASFA Yennega play AS Douanes in the Premier League. It looks like a close match. Recently, ASFA Yennega averaged 0.8 goals scored and 0.93 conceded. AS Douanes averaged 0.97 goals scored and 0.97 conceded. In past meetings, ASFA Yennega won 0, AS Douanes won 4, and they drew 1. Their last match on Mar 22, 2026 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.81 for ASFA Yennega and 0.75 for AS Douanes. This points to a AS Douanes double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%

ASFA Yennega

35%

Draws

37%

AS Douanes

Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: AS Douanes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / Medium Confidence

ASFA Yennega picked up more points recently compared to AS Douanes.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.81 vs 0.75 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 51%

Over 2.5 Goals 29%

Over 3.5 Goals 17%

Over 4.5 Goals 9%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 37%

ASFA Yennega Clean Sheet 27%

AS Douanes Clean Sheet 18%

First Half Goal 46%

Second Half Goal 48%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	ASFA Yennega	AS Douanes
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	9	10
Draws	11	13
Losses	10	7
Goals Scored	0.8	0.97
Goals Conceded	0.93	0.97
Expected Goals (xG)	1.13	0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.75	0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2026 Premier League

ASFA Yennega vs AS Douanes

Possession: 56% - 53% Cards: 3 - 1

0:1

Nov 2, 2025 Premier League

AS Douanes vs ASFA Yennega

Possession: 45% - 41% Cards: 3 - 4

1:1

May 10, 2025 Premier League

ASFA Yennega vs AS Douanes

Possession: 48% - 58% Cards: 2 - 1

0:1

Oct 14, 2024 Premier League

AS Douanes vs ASFA Yennega

Possession: 44% - 43% Cards: 3 - 1

2:0

May 4, 2024 Premier League

AS Douanes vs ASFA Yennega

Possession: 50% - 57% Cards: 0 - 2

1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

ASFA Yennega Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87

Avg xA / game 0.56

AS Douanes Compare

Top Goalscorer Togo M.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.68

Avg xA / game 0.42

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

ASFA Yennega 31 / 100

AS Douanes 37 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ASFA Yennega AS Douanes

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: AS Douanes or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +40%

5.00

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +26.1%

4.35

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

ASFA Yennega attacking → ← attacking AS Douanes

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

ASFA Yennega scored in 57% of their last 30 games.

AS Douanes let in goals in 57% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.40 goals.

ASFA Yennega went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

AS Douanes lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

38 Points in last 5 43

1.13 Goals expected (xG) 0.75

0.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.50

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Rahimo	30	20	9	1	47:15	69
2	USFA	30	12	13	5	31:17	49
3	Sporting Cascades	30	10	13	7	25:18	43
4	AS Douanes	30	10	13	7	29:29	43
5	Majestic	30	11	10	9	26:27	43
6	CFFEB	30	10	10	10	25:25	40
7	Salitas	30	10	10	10	29:31	40
8	Kadiogo	30	10	8	12	27:27	38
9	ASFA Yennega	30	9	11	10	24:28	38
10	Vitesse	30	9	10	11	25:25	37
11	Real Du Faso	30	9	10	11	21:23	37
12	ASF Dioulasso	30	9	10	11	25:31	37
13	Sonabel Ouagadougou	30	8	12	10	24:28	36
14	Etoile Filante	30	7	12	11	22:29	33
15	Bobo-Dioulasso	30	6	9	15	11:28	27
16	AJE Bobo-Dioulasso	30	6	8	16	27:37	26