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ASFAG vs Karfamoriah - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Guinea Guinea

Ligue 1
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Ligue 1 game between ASFAG and Karfamoriah finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
ASFAG
35%
Draws
45%
Karfamoriah
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Karfamoriah

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and ASFAG come out ahead of Karfamoriah on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
ASFAG Clean Sheet 20%
Karfamoriah Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric ASFAG Karfamoriah
Matches Played 30 26
Wins 9 7
Draws 6 7
Losses 15 12
Goals Scored 1.1 0.92
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 4, 2026 Ligue 1
ASFAG vs Karfamoriah
1:1
Dec 11, 2025 Ligue 1
Karfamoriah vs ASFAG
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

ASFAG 32 / 100
Karfamoriah 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
ASFAG Karfamoriah

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Karfamoriah Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: ASFAG scored in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Karfamoriah conceded in 73% of 26 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.

ASFAG has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

ASFAG VS Karfamoriah
1.5 Goals Scored 0.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

ASFAG

(Home)
22 Apr
Hafia
1 : 1
ASFAG
18 Apr
CI Kamsar
5 : 0
ASFAG
12 Apr
ASFAG
1 : 3
Ashanti GB (SAG)
08 Apr
ASFAG
2 : 2
Milo FC
04 Apr
ASFAG
1 : 1
Karfamoriah
Page 1 of 6

Karfamoriah

(Away)
22 Apr
Milo FC
2 : 1
Karfamoriah
17 Apr
Karfamoriah
2 : 3
Ashanti GB (SAG)
12 Apr
Sangaredi
1 : 2
Karfamoriah
08 Apr
Foot Elite
0 : 1
Karfamoriah
04 Apr
ASFAG
1 : 1
Karfamoriah
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Horoya 26 17 5 4 42:19 56
2 Hafia 26 15 7 4 34:16 52
3 CI Kamsar 26 15 3 8 37:21 48
4 Kaloum Star 26 12 8 6 31:18 44
5 Milo FC 26 11 10 5 33:18 43
6 Wakriya AC 26 8 9 9 22:26 33
7 ASFAG 26 9 5 12 31:35 32
8 Foot Elite 26 8 6 12 30:41 30
9 Sangaredi 26 7 8 11 22:28 29
10 Ashanti GB (SAG) 26 7 8 11 23:32 29
11 RCC Kamsar 26 7 7 12 25:31 28
12 Karfamoriah 26 7 7 12 24:33 28
13 Renaissance 26 6 8 12 20:35 26
14 Loubha 26 4 7 15 14:35 19
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)