Sport Picks

Stadium Background

ASFAN vs AS Garde Nationale

Niger Niger

Super Ligue 2025/2026 Stade du Camp Bagagi Iya, Niamey
ASFAN Logo

ASFAN

1 - 0
FT
AS Garde Nationale Logo

AS Garde Nationale

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

ASFAN in this Super Ligue 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored ASFAN.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
ASFAN
35%
Draws
31%
AS Garde Nationale
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to ASFAN lately — more wins on the board than AS Garde Nationale.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on ASFAN taking it.
  • Regular Super Ligue 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
ASFAN Clean Sheet 68%
AS Garde Nationale Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric ASFAN AS Garde Nationale
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 15 13
Draws 8 12
Losses 7 4
Goals Scored 1.33 1.1
Goals Conceded 0.9 0.66
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 20, 2026 Super Ligue
ASFAN vs AS Garde Nationale
1:0
Nov 16, 2025 Super Ligue
AS Garde Nationale vs ASFAN
0:1
Apr 23, 2025 Super Ligue
AS Garde Nationale vs ASFAN
2:2
Feb 2, 2025 Super Ligue
ASFAN vs AS Garde Nationale
0:0
Feb 26, 2024 Super Ligue
ASFAN vs AS Garde Nationale
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

ASFAN 46 / 100
AS Garde Nationale 44 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
ASFAN AS Garde Nationale

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

ASFAN went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

ASFAN's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Defensive concern: AS Garde Nationale conceded in 48% of 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

ASFAN VS AS Garde Nationale
1.13 Goals Scored 1.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.38
75% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

ASFAN

(Home)
04 Oct
Wombeye
1 : 1
ASFAN
27 Sept
ASFAN
1 : 1
Liberte
19 Sept
Tagour
1 : 2
ASFAN
12 Sept
ASFAN
2 : 0
Douanes Niamey
06 Sept
Niima
1 : 1
ASFAN
Page 1 of 6

AS Garde Nationale

(Away)
22 Sept
AS Garde Nationale
3 : 1
Niima
19 Sept
Douanes Niamey
1 : 0
AS Garde Nationale
11 Sept
AS Garde Nationale
2 : 0
Tagour
06 Sept
JS Tahoua
0 : 0
AS Garde Nationale
19 Jun
AS Garde Nationale
1 : 1
Police
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nigelec 30 20 6 4 48:24 66
2 US Gendarmerie 30 17 9 4 48:17 60
3 ASFAN 30 16 7 7 38:24 55
4 AS Garde Nationale 30 14 11 5 38:21 53
5 Police 30 14 9 7 39:21 51
6 Douanes Niamey 30 12 11 7 33:21 47
7 Espoir 30 9 10 11 31:35 37
8 AS ZAM 30 10 7 13 39:46 37
9 Sahel 30 10 5 15 21:23 35
10 JS Tahoua 30 10 5 15 36:51 35
11 Tagour 30 7 12 11 32:40 33
12 Urana 30 8 9 13 28:36 33
13 Liberte 30 7 11 12 28:46 32
14 AS UAM 30 8 8 14 25:34 32
15 Olympic Niamey 30 5 10 15 24:44 25
16 Renaissance 30 4 8 18 23:48 20
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)