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ASFAN vs Douanes Niamey - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Niger Niger

Super Ligue Stade du Camp Bagagi Iya, Niamey
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AI Match Summary

ASFAN in this Super Ligue matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored ASFAN.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
ASFAN
35%
Draws
23%
Douanes Niamey
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: ASFAN

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to ASFAN lately — more wins on the board than Douanes Niamey.
  • Model gives ASFAN a 42% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
ASFAN Clean Sheet 20%
Douanes Niamey Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric ASFAN Douanes Niamey
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 11
Draws 8 12
Losses 7 6
Goals Scored 1.31 1.07
Goals Conceded 0.93 0.62
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Super Ligue
ASFAN vs Douanes Niamey
2:0
Jun 18, 2026 Super Ligue
Douanes Niamey vs ASFAN
1:0
Oct 19, 2025 Super Ligue
ASFAN vs Douanes Niamey
2:0
Apr 5, 2025 Super Ligue
Douanes Niamey vs ASFAN
1:1
Feb 16, 2025 Super Ligue
ASFAN vs Douanes Niamey
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

ASFAN 67 / 100
Douanes Niamey 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
ASFAN Douanes Niamey

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ASFAN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: ASFAN stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

ASFAN scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Douanes Niamey has conceded goals in 41% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

ASFAN VS Douanes Niamey
1.13 Goals Scored 1.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.5
75% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

ASFAN

(Home)
04 Oct
Wombeye
1 : 1
ASFAN
27 Sept
ASFAN
1 : 1
Liberte
19 Sept
Tagour
1 : 2
ASFAN
12 Sept
ASFAN
2 : 0
Douanes Niamey
06 Sept
Niima
1 : 1
ASFAN
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Douanes Niamey

(Away)
02 Oct
AS UAM
0 : 0
Douanes Niamey
22 Sept
Douanes Niamey
1 : 2
Urana
19 Sept
Douanes Niamey
1 : 0
AS Garde Nationale
12 Sept
ASFAN
2 : 0
Douanes Niamey
06 Sept
Wombeye
0 : 0
Douanes Niamey
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 US Gendarmerie 5 5 0 0 10:1 15
2 Sahel 5 3 2 0 8:3 11
3 AS Garde Nationale 5 3 1 1 7:2 10
4 ASFAN 5 2 3 0 7:4 9
5 Urana 5 2 2 1 5:7 8
6 Wombeye 5 1 3 1 4:3 6
7 Niima 5 1 3 1 4:5 6
8 Police 4 1 2 1 3:2 5
9 AS UAM 5 1 2 2 3:5 5
10 Douanes Niamey 5 1 2 2 2:4 5
11 Liberte 5 1 2 2 1:4 5
12 Espoir 5 1 1 3 2:5 4
13 Tagour 5 1 1 3 3:7 4
14 JS Tahoua 4 0 2 2 2:4 2
15 Nigelec 4 0 2 2 0:2 2
16 AS ZAM 4 0 2 2 1:4 2
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)