Sport Picks
Match Events
42'
42'
Turner D.
76'
76'
Hunter A.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this NPL Premier Division matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
58%
30%
12%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ashton United
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
58%
/ Medium Confidence
- Ilkeston have won more games recently than Ashton United.
- 58% — that's where the model lands on Ashton United taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Ashton United Clean Sheet 20%
Ilkeston Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ashton United | Ilkeston |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 9 | 11 |
| Draws | 7 | 6 |
| Losses | 12 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.21 | 1.28 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.32 | 1.48 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.94 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 25, 2026 NPL Premier Division
Ashton United vs Ilkeston
1:1
Mar 21, 2026 NPL Premier Division
Ashton United vs Ilkeston
0:0
Nov 8, 2025 NPL Premier Division
Ilkeston vs Ashton United
0:2
Feb 1, 2025 NPL Premier Division
Ashton United vs Ilkeston
2:1
Sep 28, 2024 NPL Premier Division
Ilkeston vs Ashton United
2:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Ashton United Compare
Top Goalscorer Turner D.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97
Ilkeston Compare
Top Goalscorer Hunter A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Ashton United 85 / 100
Ilkeston 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Ashton United Ilkeston
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Ashton United Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Ashton United found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (28 games).
Defensive concern: Ilkeston conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.
Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.
Ashton United has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Ashton United VS Ilkeston
1.75 Goals Scored 1.13
1 Goals Conceded 2.13
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Ashton United
(Home) 31 Aug
Curzon Ashton
2 : 0 Ashton United
28 Aug
Ashton United
1 : 2 Gainsborough
25 Aug
Ashton United
1 : 1 Ilkeston
22 Aug
AFC Emley
1 : 1 Ashton United
18 Aug
Ashton United
2 : 0 Whitby
Page 1 of 6
28 Aug
Ashton United
1 : 2 Gainsborough
25 Aug
Ashton United
1 : 1 Ilkeston
18 Aug
Ashton United
2 : 0 Whitby
08 Aug
Ashton United
4 : 1 Lancaster
01 Aug
Ashton United
1 : 2 Stalybridge
Page 1 of 3
Ilkeston
(Away) 31 Aug
Ilkeston
0 : 2 Quorn
29 Aug
Bury FC
7 : 0 Ilkeston
25 Aug
Ashton United
1 : 1 Ilkeston
22 Aug
Ilkeston
0 : 3 Cleethorpes
18 Aug
Ilkeston
1 : 2 Warrington Town
Page 1 of 6
29 Aug
Bury FC
7 : 0 Ilkeston
25 Aug
Ashton United
1 : 1 Ilkeston
15 Aug
Whitby
2 : 0 Ilkeston
11 Aug
AFC Emley
1 : 2 Ilkeston
11 Jul
Worksop
3 : 1 Ilkeston
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cleethorpes | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 23:5 | 19 |
| 2 | Avro | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 26:16 | 19 |
| 3 | Redcar Athletic | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 15:4 | 18 |
| 4 | Warrington Town | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 17:10 | 17 |
| 5 | Guiseley | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 18:9 | 16 |
| 6 | Bury FC | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 15:8 | 13 |
| 7 | Curzon Ashton | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 16:10 | 13 |
| 8 | Gainsborough | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 14:10 | 13 |
| 9 | Workington | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 14:14 | 13 |
| 10 | Alfreton | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 15:9 | 12 |
| 11 | Warrington Rylands | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 11:12 | 12 |
| 12 | Ashton United | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10:8 | 11 |
| 13 | Hyde | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9:14 | 11 |
| 14 | AFC Emley | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 8:11 | 10 |
| 15 | Lancaster | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 9:15 | 10 |
| 16 | Whitby | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 11:23 | 9 |
| 17 | Ilkeston | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 5:18 | 7 |
| 18 | Leek Town | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 15:16 | 6 |
| 19 | Quorn | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 11:19 | 6 |
| 20 | Bamber Bridge | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 11:22 | 6 |
| 21 | Stockton | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7:17 | 4 |
| 22 | United of Manchester | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 8:18 | 2 |
Promotion - National League North 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - NPL Premier Division (Play Offs)
Promotion - NPL Premier Division (Play Offs)
