Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ashton United vs Redcar Athletic - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

FA Trophy
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the FA Trophy. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Redcar Athletic have shipped 1.38 goals a game lately, while Ashton United have conceded 1.25 and scored 1.44. Head-to-head, Ashton United have won 0 to Redcar Athletic's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on Oct 17, 2026, ending 1:2. xG projections (1.38 - 1.56) back Redcar Athletic to edge this. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Ashton United
30%
Draws
47%
Redcar Athletic
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Redcar Athletic

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Redcar Athletic have won more games recently than Ashton United.
  • Redcar Athletic are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Redcar Athletic arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Redcar Athletic, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Ashton United Clean Sheet 15%
Redcar Athletic Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ashton United Redcar Athletic
Matches Played 32 24
Wins 11 13
Draws 10 4
Losses 11 7
Goals Scored 1.44 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 17, 2026 NPL Premier Division
Ashton United vs Redcar Athletic
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ashton United 11 / 100
Redcar Athletic 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ashton United Redcar Athletic

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Redcar Athletic Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ashton United scored in 69% of their last 32 games.

Defensive concern: Redcar Athletic conceded in 63% of 24 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Ashton United stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ashton United VS Redcar Athletic
1.63 Goals Scored 1.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Ashton United

(Home)
17 Oct
Ashton United
1 : 2
Redcar Athletic
13 Oct
Ashton United
0 : 0
Alfreton
10 Oct
Leek Town
2 : 2
Ashton United
06 Oct
Quorn
2 : 2
Ashton United
26 Sept
Warrington Town
2 : 3
Ashton United
Page 1 of 7

Redcar Athletic

(Away)
17 Oct
Ashton United
1 : 2
Redcar Athletic
13 Oct
Redcar Athletic
3 : 1
Avro
10 Oct
Ilkeston
0 : 5
Redcar Athletic
06 Oct
Curzon Ashton
3 : 1
Redcar Athletic
03 Oct
Redcar Athletic
3 : 1
Alfreton
Page 1 of 5

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Warrington Rylands -
Guiseley -
Bury FC -
Prescot Cables -
Workington -
Cleethorpes -
Leek Town -
Bootle -
Ashton United -
Redcar Athletic -
Bridlington Town -
Curzon Ashton -
Avro -
Hyde -
Redditch -
Gloucester City -
Mickleover -
Alfreton -
Anstey Nomads -
Bromsgrove -
Evesham -
Halesowen -
Loughborough Students -
Stourbridge -
Bourne -
Banbury -
Kettering -
Quorn -
Egham Town -
Uxbridge -
Erith Town -
Burgess Hill -
Leatherhead -
Eastbourne Borough -
Dartford -
Three Bridges -
Whitehawk -
St. Albans -
Aveley -
Carshalton -
Enfield Town -
Hanworth Villa -
Needham Market -
Wingate & Finchley -
Hastings -
Waltham Abbey -
Berkhamsted Town -
Cray Wanderers -
Faversham -
Newmarket -
Deal Town -
Hashtag -
Takeley -
Chertsey Town -
Weymouth -
Sholing -
Didcot -
Poole Town -
Taunton Town -
Wimborne -
Gosport Borough -
Chichester City -
Bath City -
Frome Town -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
1/64-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
1/32-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
1/16-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
1/8-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -