Sport Picks
Match Events
28'
28'
Njaria S.
64'
64'
Lowe N.
75'
75'
Hardy J.
AI Match Summary
The NPL Premier Division 2023/2024 game between Ashton United and Stafford finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ashton United.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
28%
15%
57%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Stafford
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
57%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Ashton United come out ahead of Stafford on wins alone.
- 57% — that's where the model lands on Stafford taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 23%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Ashton United Clean Sheet 17%
Stafford Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ashton United | Stafford |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 27 |
| Wins | 11 | 9 |
| Draws | 7 | 2 |
| Losses | 11 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 1.34 | 1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.21 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 1.42 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 20, 2024 NPL Premier Division
Stafford vs Ashton United
0:1
Dec 12, 2023 NPL Premier Division
Ashton United vs Stafford
2:1
Feb 14, 2023 NPL Premier Division
Stafford vs Ashton United
1:1
Oct 18, 2022 NPL Premier Division
Ashton United vs Stafford
1:1
Apr 23, 2022 NPL Premier Division
Stafford vs Ashton United
5:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Ashton United Compare
Top Goalscorer Lowe N.
1 Goals Assists Leader Hardy J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59
Stafford Compare
Top Goalscorer Njaria S.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.29
Avg xA / game 0.79
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Ashton United 28 / 100
Stafford 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Ashton United Stafford
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Stafford Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Ashton United scored in 69% of their last 29 games.
Defensive concern: Stafford conceded in 70% of 27 recent games.
Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.
Solid form: Ashton United remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Ashton United VS Stafford
1.38 Goals Scored 1.83
1 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 83%
38% Over 2.5 67%
13% Over 3.5 33%
Recent Form & Match History
Ashton United
(Home) 26 Sept
Warrington Town
2 : 3 Ashton United
19 Sept
Buxton
1 : 0 Ashton United
12 Sept
Ashton United
0 : 1 Cleethorpes
05 Sept
Whitby
2 : 5 Ashton United
31 Aug
Curzon Ashton
2 : 0 Ashton United
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Ashton United
0 : 1 Cleethorpes
28 Aug
Ashton United
1 : 2 Gainsborough
25 Aug
Ashton United
1 : 1 Ilkeston
18 Aug
Ashton United
2 : 0 Whitby
08 Aug
Ashton United
4 : 1 Lancaster
Page 1 of 3
Stafford
(Away) 26 Sept
Gloucester City
4 : 0 Stafford
19 Sept
Stafford
3 : 2 Hereford
12 Sept
Kidsgrove Athletic
0 : 3 Stafford
05 Sept
Stafford
3 : 0 Northampton on Chenecks
29 Aug
Corby
0 : 2 Stafford
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Gloucester City
4 : 0 Stafford
12 Sept
Kidsgrove Athletic
0 : 3 Stafford
29 Aug
Corby
0 : 2 Stafford
20 Sept
Sporting Club Inkberrow FC
4 : 3 Stafford
07 Sept
Walsall Wood
2 : 1 Stafford
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Radcliffe | 40 | 28 | 3 | 9 | 103:58 | 87 |
| 2 | Macclesfield | 40 | 24 | 5 | 11 | 84:47 | 77 |
| 3 | Marine | 40 | 23 | 7 | 10 | 87:44 | 76 |
| 4 | Warrington Rylands | 40 | 21 | 12 | 7 | 65:42 | 75 |
| 5 | Worksop | 40 | 21 | 7 | 12 | 72:49 | 70 |
| 6 | Hyde | 40 | 19 | 10 | 11 | 68:48 | 67 |
| 7 | Ashton United | 40 | 19 | 10 | 11 | 73:63 | 67 |
| 8 | Gainsborough | 40 | 19 | 6 | 15 | 66:63 | 63 |
| 9 | Lancaster | 40 | 18 | 8 | 14 | 60:62 | 62 |
| 10 | Guiseley | 40 | 18 | 7 | 15 | 69:63 | 61 |
| 11 | Ilkeston | 40 | 18 | 6 | 16 | 69:62 | 60 |
| 12 | Whitby | 40 | 17 | 8 | 15 | 60:50 | 56 |
| 13 | Morpeth | 40 | 14 | 8 | 18 | 76:81 | 50 |
| 14 | United of Manchester | 40 | 15 | 4 | 21 | 55:77 | 48 |
| 15 | Matlock | 40 | 14 | 5 | 21 | 62:77 | 47 |
| 16 | Bamber Bridge | 40 | 12 | 11 | 17 | 63:82 | 47 |
| 17 | Workington | 40 | 11 | 11 | 18 | 67:81 | 44 |
| 18 | Basford Utd. | 40 | 9 | 10 | 21 | 44:65 | 37 |
| 19 | Bradford PA | 40 | 7 | 9 | 24 | 50:85 | 30 |
| 20 | Stafford | 40 | 9 | 3 | 28 | 36:81 | 30 |
| 21 | Atherton Collieries | 40 | 7 | 4 | 29 | 47:96 | 25 |
| 22 | Marske United | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Promotion - National League North 2024/2025 (Main)
Promotion - NPL Premier Division 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
