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Ashton United vs Warrington Town - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

NPL Premier Division
Tue, Nov 3, 2026
VS
07:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ashton United host Warrington Town in the NPL Premier Division. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Ashton United have averaged 1.43 scored and 1.36 conceded recently, against Warrington Town's 1.55 scored and 1.66 conceded. Head-to-head, Ashton United have won 2 to Warrington Town's 3, with 0 draws. They last met on Sep 26, 2026, ending 2:3. Model xG sits at 1.75 vs 1.75, favoring Ashton United. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Ashton United
35%
Draws
43%
Warrington Town
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Warrington Town

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Ashton United lately — more wins on the board than Warrington Town.
  • Model gives Ashton United a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Regular NPL Premier Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Ashton United Clean Sheet 12%
Warrington Town Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ashton United Warrington Town
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 9 8
Draws 8 8
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 1.43 1.55
Goals Conceded 1.36 1.66
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2026 FA Trophy
Warrington Town vs Ashton United
2:3
Feb 7, 2026 NPL Premier Division
Ashton United vs Warrington Town
1:0
Oct 28, 2025 NPL Premier Division
Warrington Town vs Ashton United
2:1
Jul 26, 2024 Club Friendly
Ashton United vs Warrington Town
0:1
Apr 8, 2023 NPL Premier Division
Warrington Town vs Ashton United
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ashton United 35 / 100
Warrington Town 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ashton United Warrington Town

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Warrington Town let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

Ashton United scored in 68% of their last 28 games.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Ashton United stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ashton United VS Warrington Town
1.63 Goals Scored 2
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.88
63% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Ashton United

(Home)
21 Oct
Avro
3 : 2
Ashton United
17 Oct
Ashton United
1 : 2
Redcar Athletic
13 Oct
Ashton United
0 : 0
Alfreton
10 Oct
Leek Town
2 : 2
Ashton United
06 Oct
Quorn
2 : 2
Ashton United
Page 1 of 6

Warrington Town

(Away)
17 Oct
Alfreton
1 : 1
Warrington Town
13 Oct
Bamber Bridge
0 : 1
Warrington Town
10 Oct
Warrington Town
2 : 2
Lancaster
06 Oct
Warrington Town
2 : 2
Workington
03 Oct
Marine
2 : 0
Warrington Town
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Redcar Athletic 15 10 4 1 33:13 34
2 Cleethorpes 14 9 3 2 31:9 30
3 Guiseley 13 9 1 3 27:12 28
4 Avro 14 9 1 4 37:27 28
5 Gainsborough 13 8 1 4 29:16 25
6 Workington 15 7 3 5 26:25 24
7 Warrington Town 13 6 5 2 24:19 23
8 Warrington Rylands 14 7 2 5 25:21 23
9 Curzon Ashton 13 7 1 5 24:17 22
10 Alfreton 15 6 2 7 21:17 20
11 Lancaster 15 6 2 7 20:28 20
12 Bury FC 11 6 1 4 22:11 19
13 Whitby 14 6 1 7 20:33 19
14 Hyde 15 4 3 8 15:29 15
15 Leek Town 13 3 5 5 26:26 14
16 Ashton United 14 3 5 6 17:18 14
17 Quorn 13 3 5 5 23:29 14
18 AFC Emley 14 3 5 6 15:26 14
19 Stockton 15 3 3 9 18:28 12
20 Bamber Bridge 14 2 4 8 17:34 10
21 Ilkeston 15 3 1 11 10:34 10
22 United of Manchester 12 1 4 7 15:23 7
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