Sport Picks
Ashton United vs Whitby - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
England
NPL Premier Division 
Match Events
5'
5'
Hardy J.
14'
14'
Hardy J.
AI Match Summary
Ashton United in this NPL Premier Division matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ashton United.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
59%
15%
26%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ashton United
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
59%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Ashton United lately — more wins on the board than Whitby.
- Model gives Ashton United a 59% chance of winning this.
- Regular NPL Premier Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- History favors Ashton United here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 37.2%
Ashton United Clean Sheet 68%
Whitby Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ashton United | Whitby |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 28 |
| Wins | 10 | 6 |
| Draws | 10 | 6 |
| Losses | 11 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 1.39 | 1.32 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.29 | 2.29 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.56 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 5, 2026 FA Cup
Whitby vs Ashton United
2:5
Aug 18, 2026 NPL Premier Division
Ashton United vs Whitby
2:0
Mar 17, 2026 NPL Premier Division
Whitby vs Ashton United
1:2
Oct 11, 2025 NPL Premier Division
Ashton United vs Whitby
1:4
Jan 18, 2025 NPL Premier Division
Ashton United vs Whitby
5:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Ashton United Compare
Top Goalscorer Hardy J.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 1.97
Avg xA / game 1.28
Whitby Compare
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Ashton United 77 / 100
Whitby 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Ashton United Whitby
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Ashton United Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Whitby has conceded goals in 86% of their last 28 outings.
Games between these two average 4.40 goals.
Attacking prowess: Ashton United scored in 71% of their last 31 outings.
Ashton United has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Ashton United VS Whitby
1.5 Goals Scored 1.63
1.63 Goals Conceded 3.63
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 75%
Recent Form & Match History
Ashton United
(Home) 06 Oct
Quorn
2 : 2 Ashton United
26 Sept
Warrington Town
2 : 3 Ashton United
19 Sept
Buxton
1 : 0 Ashton United
12 Sept
Ashton United
0 : 1 Cleethorpes
05 Sept
Whitby
2 : 5 Ashton United
Page 1 of 7
12 Sept
Ashton United
0 : 1 Cleethorpes
28 Aug
Ashton United
1 : 2 Gainsborough
25 Aug
Ashton United
1 : 1 Ilkeston
18 Aug
Ashton United
2 : 0 Whitby
08 Aug
Ashton United
4 : 1 Lancaster
Page 1 of 3
Whitby
(Away) 06 Oct
Whitby
2 : 6 Gainsborough
29 Sept
Whitby
1 : 2 Lancaster
26 Sept
Bridlington Town
3 : 0 Whitby
12 Sept
Hyde
1 : 3 Whitby
05 Sept
Whitby
2 : 5 Ashton United
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Bridlington Town
3 : 0 Whitby
12 Sept
Hyde
1 : 3 Whitby
29 Aug
Quorn
3 : 6 Whitby
25 Aug
Cleethorpes
6 : 0 Whitby
18 Aug
Ashton United
2 : 0 Whitby
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cleethorpes | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 27:7 | 27 |
| 2 | Avro | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 33:19 | 25 |
| 3 | Redcar Athletic | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 23:11 | 25 |
| 4 | Guiseley | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 24:11 | 22 |
| 5 | Workington | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 23:19 | 21 |
| 6 | Warrington Rylands | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 20:17 | 20 |
| 7 | Curzon Ashton | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 21:11 | 19 |
| 8 | Alfreton | 12 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 18:13 | 18 |
| 9 | Warrington Town | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 20:16 | 18 |
| 10 | Bury FC | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 19:9 | 16 |
| 11 | Gainsborough | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 20:14 | 16 |
| 12 | Lancaster | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 16:24 | 16 |
| 13 | Hyde | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 13:21 | 14 |
| 14 | Ashton United | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 12:11 | 12 |
| 15 | Whitby | 11 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 17:32 | 12 |
| 16 | Stockton | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 15:22 | 11 |
| 17 | Leek Town | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 22:23 | 10 |
| 18 | Quorn | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 18:27 | 10 |
| 19 | AFC Emley | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 10:22 | 10 |
| 20 | Bamber Bridge | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 16:31 | 9 |
| 21 | Ilkeston | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 7:26 | 7 |
| 22 | United of Manchester | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 12:20 | 5 |
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