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ASK St.Valentin vs Perg - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Austria Austria

Oberosterreich
Fri, Oct 9, 2026
VS
05:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

ASK St.Valentin host Perg in the Oberosterreich. This one's hard to separate. Perg have shipped 1.06 goals a game lately, while ASK St.Valentin have conceded 2.2 and scored 1.27. Head-to-head, ASK St.Valentin have won 1 to Perg's 3, with 1 draws. They last met on May 24, 2025, ending 2:3. Model xG sits at 1.13 vs 1.63, favoring Perg. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
ASK St.Valentin
20%
Draws
40%
Perg
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Perg lately — more wins on the board than ASK St.Valentin.
  • Win probability leans ASK St.Valentin's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Regular Oberosterreich form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
ASK St.Valentin Clean Sheet 14%
Perg Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric ASK St.Valentin Perg
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 7 17
Draws 5 13
Losses 18 4
Goals Scored 1.27 1.94
Goals Conceded 2.2 1.06
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2025 Oberosterreich
ASK St.Valentin vs Perg
2:3
Oct 19, 2024 Oberosterreich
Perg vs ASK St.Valentin
2:1
Apr 13, 2024 Oberosterreich
Perg vs ASK St.Valentin
1:0
Sep 16, 2023 Oberosterreich
ASK St.Valentin vs Perg
2:1
Apr 1, 2023 Oberosterreich
ASK St.Valentin vs Perg
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

ASK St.Valentin 41 / 100
Perg 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
ASK St.Valentin Perg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

ASK St.Valentin found the back of the net in 60% of recent matches (30 games).

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

ASK St.Valentin went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Perg has conceded goals in 59% of their last 34 outings.

Scoring Trends

ASK St.Valentin VS Perg
1.5 Goals Scored 1.5
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

ASK St.Valentin

(Home)
02 Oct
Garsten
2 : 3
ASK St.Valentin
26 Sept
ASK St.Valentin
6 : 0
Friedburg
18 Sept
Gmunden
4 : 1
ASK St.Valentin
11 Sept
ASK St.Valentin
2 : 1
Sportunion St. Martin im Muhlreis
04 Sept
Vocklamarkt
2 : 2
ASK St.Valentin
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Perg

(Away)
02 Oct
Friedburg
1 : 1
Perg
25 Sept
Perg
3 : 0
Sportunion St. Martin im Muhlreis
19 Sept
Andorf
3 : 1
Perg
11 Sept
Perg
2 : 0
Bad Ischl
04 Sept
Pregarten
0 : 2
Perg
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