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ASM Oran vs Medea - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Algeria Algeria

Ligue 2 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Bashina
20' Event
El Ghomari T.
35' Event
El Ghomari T.

AI Match Summary

ASM Oran in this Ligue 2 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored ASM Oran.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
ASM Oran
15%
Draws
0%
Medea
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: ASM Oran

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • ASM Oran have won more games recently than Medea.
  • Model gives ASM Oran a 85% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Ligue 2 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
ASM Oran Clean Sheet 68%
Medea Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric ASM Oran Medea
Matches Played 39 30
Wins 22 3
Draws 6 8
Losses 11 19
Goals Scored 1.38 0.87
Goals Conceded 0.82 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 11, 2024 Ligue 2
ASM Oran vs Medea
4:1
Jan 12, 2024 Ligue 2
Medea vs ASM Oran
1:1
Feb 3, 2023 Ligue 2
ASM Oran vs Medea
1:0
Sep 24, 2022 Ligue 2
Medea vs ASM Oran
0:0
Nov 20, 2019 Ligue 2
ASM Oran vs Medea
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

ASM Oran Compare

Top Goalscorer Bashina
2 Goals
Assists Leader El Ghomari T.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.74

Medea Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

ASM Oran 95 / 100
Medea 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
ASM Oran Medea

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ASM Oran Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Medea has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Away concern: Medea has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

ASM Oran's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 39 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

ASM Oran VS -
1.75 Goals Scored 0
0.5 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

ASM Oran

(Home)
03 Oct
Saida
1 : 0
ASM Oran
26 Sept
ASM Oran
3 : 1
WA Mostaganem
19 Sept
Harrach
1 : 0
ASM Oran
08 May
Adrar
1 : 4
ASM Oran
01 May
ASM Oran
0 : 1
RC Kouba
Page 1 of 8

Medea

(Away)
01 Jun
Oued Sly
4 : 2
Medea
28 May
Medea
1 : 2
CR Temouchent
24 May
Guir Abadla
3 : 1
Medea
18 May
Medea
1 : 3
WA Mostaganem
11 May
ASM Oran
4 : 1
Medea
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Olympique Akbou 30 22 4 4 59:19 70
2 MSP Batna 30 18 7 5 46:22 61
3 Bordj Menail 30 12 9 9 33:27 45
4 CA Batna 30 10 13 7 26:22 43
5 MO Constantine 30 11 9 10 32:36 42
6 IB Khemis El Khechna 30 11 8 11 28:26 41
7 Harrach 30 12 5 13 35:34 41
8 Ouargla 30 11 8 11 23:32 41
9 Chelghoum 30 11 6 13 33:31 39
10 Olympique Magrane 30 11 6 13 28:37 39
11 Khroub 30 9 11 10 35:28 38
12 Annaba 30 8 14 8 33:28 38
13 Telaghema 30 12 2 16 40:41 38
14 Mlila 30 10 7 13 28:34 37
15 Ghozlane 30 7 8 15 27:49 29
16 Eulma 30 3 7 20 17:57 16
Promotion - Ligue 1 2024/2025 (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mostaganem 30 23 6 1 60:11 75
2 RC Kouba 30 19 7 4 38:17 64
3 WA Mostaganem 30 16 8 6 59:29 56
4 CR Temouchent 30 14 7 9 35:26 49
5 GC Mascara 30 13 5 12 31:34 43
6 Kolea 30 12 5 13 38:35 41
7 JSM Tiaret 30 10 10 10 31:33 40
8 SC Mecheria 30 10 8 12 41:40 38
9 Hussein Dey 30 11 6 13 24:30 38
10 Oued Sly 30 11 5 14 27:35 38
11 Arba 30 11 5 14 37:47 38
12 El Khemis 30 11 4 15 42:41 37
13 ASM Oran 30 10 9 11 39:42 37
14 Widad Adabi de Boufarik 30 9 9 12 33:36 36
15 Medea 30 3 8 19 26:57 15
16 Guir Abadla 30 4 4 22 31:79 15
Promotion - Ligue 1 2024/2025 (Main)