Sport Picks

Stadium Background

ASO Chlef vs Mostaganem

Algeria Algeria

Ligue 1 2025/2026 Mohamed Boumezrag Stadium, Chlef
Our Tip

Match Events

41'
Zeffane M.
50'
Farhi I.
55' Event
Avotor K.
Penalty Missed

AI Match Summary

The Ligue 1 2025/2026 game between ASO Chlef and Mostaganem finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward ASO Chlef.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
ASO Chlef
20%
Draws
32%
Mostaganem
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: ASO Chlef

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and ASO Chlef come out ahead of Mostaganem on wins alone.
  • 48% — that's where the model lands on ASO Chlef taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.6%
ASO Chlef Clean Sheet 68%
Mostaganem Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric ASO Chlef Mostaganem
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 10 5
Draws 6 6
Losses 13 19
Goals Scored 0.86 0.63
Goals Conceded 1 1.8
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 13, 2026 Ligue 1
ASO Chlef vs Mostaganem
1:0
Oct 17, 2025 Ligue 1
Mostaganem vs ASO Chlef
0:1
May 25, 2025 Ligue 1
Mostaganem vs ASO Chlef
1:0
Dec 7, 2024 Ligue 1
ASO Chlef vs Mostaganem
2:0
Sep 5, 2023 Club Friendly
Mostaganem vs ASO Chlef
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

ASO Chlef Compare

Top Goalscorer Farhi I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Mostaganem Compare

Avg xG / game 0.63
Avg xA / game 0.38

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

ASO Chlef 95 / 100
Mostaganem 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
ASO Chlef Mostaganem

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ASO Chlef Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Mostaganem conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

ASO Chlef's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Away concern: Mostaganem has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

These sides typically produce 1.40 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

ASO Chlef VS Mostaganem
1 Goals Scored 0.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 3.25
50% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

ASO Chlef

(Home)
05 Jun
MC Alger
2 : 0
ASO Chlef
20 May
ASO Chlef
1 : 2
Kabylie
07 May
Oran
1 : 0
ASO Chlef
17 Apr
ASO Chlef
1 : 0
Olympique Akbou
10 Apr
ES Ben Aknoun
2 : 1
ASO Chlef
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Mostaganem

(Away)
05 Jun
Mostaganem
2 : 2
El Bayadh
19 May
ES Ben Aknoun
3 : 0
Mostaganem
12 May
USM Alger
1 : 1
Mostaganem
07 May
Mostaganem
0 : 4
Saoura
10 Apr
Mostaganem
0 : 3
Khenchela
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 MC Alger 30 20 5 5 41:18 65
2 Saoura 30 16 7 7 40:26 55
3 CR Belouizdad 30 14 11 5 47:24 53
4 Oran 30 14 7 9 36:31 49
5 Kabylie 30 11 12 7 40:31 45
6 Olympique Akbou 30 12 9 9 34:31 45
7 Khenchela 30 12 8 10 37:37 44
8 ES Ben Aknoun 30 11 10 9 41:39 43
9 Constantine 30 11 10 9 35:30 43
10 USM Alger 30 8 15 7 34:29 39
11 ES Setif 30 10 9 11 33:36 39
12 Rouisset 30 9 9 12 30:35 36
13 ASO Chlef 30 9 7 14 26:31 34
14 Paradou 30 7 3 20 35:54 24
15 Mostaganem 30 4 7 19 18:52 19
16 El Bayadh 30 2 11 17 17:40 17
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2025/2026 (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligue 2 (Main)