Sport Picks

Stadium Background

ASO Chlef vs Paradou

Algeria Algeria

Ligue 1 2025/2026 Mohamed Boumezrag Stadium, Chlef
Our Tip

Match Events

29' Event
Ledlum E.
42'
Debbari A.
45' Event
Bisker M.
Penalty Missed

AI Match Summary

The Ligue 1 2025/2026 game between ASO Chlef and Paradou finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward ASO Chlef.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
ASO Chlef
15%
Draws
57%
Paradou
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Paradou

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and ASO Chlef come out ahead of Paradou on wins alone.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on ASO Chlef taking it.
  • Regular Ligue 1 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
ASO Chlef Clean Sheet 20%
Paradou Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric ASO Chlef Paradou
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 9
Draws 6 2
Losses 13 19
Goals Scored 0.9 1.43
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.87
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 23, 2026 Ligue 1
ASO Chlef vs Paradou
2:0
Aug 23, 2025 Ligue 1
Paradou vs ASO Chlef
0:0
Feb 11, 2025 Ligue 1
ASO Chlef vs Paradou
2:0
Sep 21, 2024 Ligue 1
Paradou vs ASO Chlef
2:0
May 11, 2024 Ligue 1
Paradou vs ASO Chlef
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

ASO Chlef Compare

Top Goalscorer Ledlum E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bekkouche C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Paradou Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

ASO Chlef 36 / 100
Paradou 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
ASO Chlef Paradou

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

ASO Chlef scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Paradou's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Paradou has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

ASO Chlef VS Paradou
1 Goals Scored 1.38
1 Goals Conceded 2
50% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

ASO Chlef

(Home)
05 Jun
MC Alger
2 : 0
ASO Chlef
20 May
ASO Chlef
1 : 2
Kabylie
07 May
Oran
1 : 0
ASO Chlef
17 Apr
ASO Chlef
1 : 0
Olympique Akbou
10 Apr
ES Ben Aknoun
2 : 1
ASO Chlef
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Paradou

(Away)
05 Jun
Paradou
0 : 2
ES Setif
22 May
USM Alger
4 : 2
Paradou
19 May
Rouisset
2 : 1
Paradou
07 May
Paradou
5 : 3
Constantine
17 Apr
El Bayadh
0 : 1
Paradou
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 MC Alger 30 20 5 5 41:18 65
2 Saoura 30 16 7 7 40:26 55
3 CR Belouizdad 30 14 11 5 47:24 53
4 Oran 30 14 7 9 36:31 49
5 Kabylie 30 11 12 7 40:31 45
6 Olympique Akbou 30 12 9 9 34:31 45
7 Khenchela 30 12 8 10 37:37 44
8 ES Ben Aknoun 30 11 10 9 41:39 43
9 Constantine 30 11 10 9 35:30 43
10 USM Alger 30 8 15 7 34:29 39
11 ES Setif 30 10 9 11 33:36 39
12 Rouisset 30 9 9 12 30:35 36
13 ASO Chlef 30 9 7 14 26:31 34
14 Paradou 30 7 3 20 35:54 24
15 Mostaganem 30 4 7 19 18:52 19
16 El Bayadh 30 2 11 17 17:40 17
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2025/2026 (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligue 2 (Main)