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ASO Chlef vs Paradou - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Algeria Algeria

Ligue 1 2025/2026 Mohamed Boumezrag Stadium, Chlef
Our Tip

Match Events

29' Event
Ledlum E.
42'
Debbari A.
45' Event
Bisker M.
Penalty Missed

AI Match Summary

The Ligue 1 2025/2026 game between ASO Chlef and Paradou finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward ASO Chlef.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
ASO Chlef
20%
Draws
64%
Paradou
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Paradou

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Paradou come out ahead of ASO Chlef on wins alone.
  • 64% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Ligue 1 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
ASO Chlef Clean Sheet 16%
Paradou Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric ASO Chlef Paradou
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 9 10
Draws 4 3
Losses 15 15
Goals Scored 0.82 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 23, 2026 Ligue 1
ASO Chlef vs Paradou
2:0
Aug 23, 2025 Ligue 1
Paradou vs ASO Chlef
0:0
Feb 11, 2025 Ligue 1
ASO Chlef vs Paradou
2:0
Sep 21, 2024 Ligue 1
Paradou vs ASO Chlef
2:0
May 11, 2024 Ligue 1
Paradou vs ASO Chlef
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

ASO Chlef Compare

Top Goalscorer Ledlum E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bekkouche C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Paradou Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

ASO Chlef 31 / 100
Paradou 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
ASO Chlef Paradou

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Paradou Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

ASO Chlef scored in 64% of their last 28 games.

Paradou's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Paradou has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

ASO Chlef VS Paradou
0.63 Goals Scored 1.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
50% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

ASO Chlef

(Home)
18 Sept
ASO Chlef
0 : 1
Oran
12 Sept
Constantine
3 : 0
ASO Chlef
05 Sept
ASO Chlef
3 : 3
CR Belouizdad
05 Jun
MC Alger
2 : 0
ASO Chlef
20 May
ASO Chlef
1 : 2
Kabylie
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Paradou

(Away)
02 Oct
Annaba
2 : 1
Paradou
26 Sept
Paradou
2 : 1
Telaghema
18 Sept
Khroub
0 : 0
Paradou
05 Jun
Paradou
0 : 2
ES Setif
22 May
USM Alger
4 : 2
Paradou
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 MC Alger 30 20 5 5 41:18 65
2 Saoura 30 16 7 7 40:26 55
3 CR Belouizdad 30 14 11 5 47:24 53
4 Oran 30 14 7 9 36:31 49
5 Kabylie 30 11 12 7 40:31 45
6 Olympique Akbou 30 12 9 9 34:31 45
7 Khenchela 30 12 8 10 37:37 44
8 ES Ben Aknoun 30 11 10 9 41:39 43
9 Constantine 30 11 10 9 35:30 43
10 USM Alger 30 8 15 7 34:29 39
11 ES Setif 30 10 9 11 33:36 39
12 Rouisset 30 9 9 12 30:35 36
13 ASO Chlef 30 9 7 14 26:31 34
14 Paradou 30 7 3 20 35:54 24
15 Mostaganem 30 4 7 19 18:52 19
16 El Bayadh 30 2 11 17 17:40 17
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2025/2026 (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligue 2 (Main)