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ASPAC vs Coton FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Benin Benin

Ligue 1 2025/2026 Stade de l'Amitié, Cotonou
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AI Match Summary

The Ligue 1 2025/2026 game between ASPAC and Coton FC finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
ASPAC
30%
Draws
23%
Coton FC
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: ASPAC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Coton FC haven't matched ASPAC's recent run of results.
  • ASPAC are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular Ligue 1 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
ASPAC Clean Sheet 20%
Coton FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric ASPAC Coton FC
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 15 13
Draws 8 9
Losses 6 7
Goals Scored 1.52 1.17
Goals Conceded 0.79 0.69
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2026 Ligue 1
ASPAC vs Coton FC
2:2
Oct 29, 2025 Ligue 1
Coton FC vs ASPAC
0:0
Mar 26, 2025 Ligue 1
Coton FC vs ASPAC
1:1
Dec 4, 2024 Ligue 1
ASPAC vs Coton FC
2:2
Dec 23, 2023 Ligue 1
Coton FC vs ASPAC
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

ASPAC 58 / 100
Coton FC 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
ASPAC Coton FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ASPAC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

ASPAC scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

ASPAC has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Coton FC has conceded goals in 59% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

ASPAC VS Coton FC
1.75 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

ASPAC

(Home)
04 Oct
ASPAC
2 : 0
Djeffa
26 Sept
Espoir Savalou
0 : 1
ASPAC
16 Sept
ASPAC
2 : 4
Panthers
10 Sept
Panthers
1 : 3
ASPAC
20 Jun
ASPAC
1 : 1
Cavaliers
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Coton FC

(Away)
04 Oct
Coton FC
0 : 1
Bani Ganse
26 Sept
Dragons
1 : 1
Coton FC
20 Jun
Coton FC
1 : 1
Loto
13 Jun
Dynamo Abomey
2 : 1
Coton FC
06 Jun
AS Cotonou
0 : 1
Coton FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sobemap 34 20 7 7 33:19 67
2 Coton FC 34 17 11 6 41:22 62
3 ASPAC 34 16 12 6 47:23 60
4 Loto 34 17 7 10 39:23 58
5 Buffles du Borgou 34 13 12 9 33:23 51
6 Dynamo Abomey 34 12 13 9 26:24 49
7 Espoir Savalou 34 13 10 11 33:34 49
8 AS Cotonou 34 11 14 9 25:20 47
9 Damissa 34 10 15 9 35:36 45
10 Hodio 34 10 13 11 37:33 43
11 ASVO 34 11 9 14 28:31 42
12 Ayema 34 9 13 12 19:20 40
13 Bani Ganse 34 8 15 11 27:31 39
14 Krake 34 8 15 11 33:38 39
15 Dragons 34 9 10 15 31:45 37
16 Cavaliers 34 8 12 14 28:37 36
17 JS Pob 34 7 14 13 31:36 35
18 Dadje 34 3 6 25 25:76 15
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