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ASPAC vs Etoiles Filantes - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Benin Benin

Ligue 1 2024/2025 Stade de l'Amitié, Cotonou
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AI Match Summary

The Ligue 1 2024/2025 game between ASPAC and Etoiles Filantes finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward ASPAC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

65%
ASPAC
15%
Draws
20%
Etoiles Filantes
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: ASPAC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and ASPAC come out ahead of Etoiles Filantes on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans ASPAC's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Ligue 1 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and ASPAC have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
ASPAC Clean Sheet 20%
Etoiles Filantes Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric ASPAC Etoiles Filantes
Matches Played 45 32
Wins 24 5
Draws 13 6
Losses 8 21
Goals Scored 1.51 0.59
Goals Conceded 0.76 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 13, 2025 Ligue 1
ASPAC vs Etoiles Filantes
3:1
Nov 24, 2024 Ligue 1
Etoiles Filantes vs ASPAC
0:2
Dec 30, 2023 Ligue 1
ASPAC vs Etoiles Filantes
0:0
Nov 11, 2023 Ligue 1
Etoiles Filantes vs ASPAC
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

ASPAC 85 / 100
Etoiles Filantes 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
ASPAC Etoiles Filantes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ASPAC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: ASPAC scored in 82% of their last 45 outings.

Etoiles Filantes's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 32 matches.

Games between these two average 1.75 goals.

ASPAC has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

ASPAC VS -
1.5 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

ASPAC

(Home)
04 Oct
ASPAC
2 : 0
Djeffa
26 Sept
Espoir Savalou
0 : 1
ASPAC
16 Sept
ASPAC
2 : 4
Panthers
10 Sept
Panthers
1 : 3
ASPAC
20 Jun
ASPAC
1 : 1
Cavaliers
Page 1 of 9

Etoiles Filantes

(Away)
07 Jun
Etoiles Filantes
2 : 0
Aziza
24 May
Etoiles Filantes
0 : 3
AS Cotonou
18 May
Ayema
2 : 0
Etoiles Filantes
11 May
JS Pob
2 : 0
Etoiles Filantes
04 May
Etoiles Filantes
0 : 3
Coton FC
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dadje 34 17 12 5 44:26 63
2 Cavaliers 34 16 11 7 41:26 59
3 Espoir Savalou 34 17 8 9 36:23 59
4 Loto 34 15 12 7 36:24 57
5 Dynamo Abomey 34 15 11 8 34:21 56
6 Damissa 34 15 10 9 38:24 55
7 Hodio 34 14 13 7 28:21 55
8 Bani Ganse 34 13 12 9 33:26 51
9 Buffles du Borgou 34 12 15 7 21:14 51
10 Pantheres FC 34 14 9 11 37:34 51
11 Bembereke 34 10 8 16 28:35 38
12 Takunnin 34 9 8 17 30:37 35
13 Abeilles 34 8 10 16 26:33 34
14 Boa 34 7 13 14 29:41 34
15 Dynamique Djougou 34 6 13 15 21:41 31
16 Dynamo Parakou 34 7 10 17 19:39 31
17 Real Sport 34 6 12 16 27:48 30
18 Tonnerre 34 6 11 17 24:39 29
Promotion - Ligue 1 2024/2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Coton FC 32 16 12 4 34:16 60
2 Dragons 32 14 13 5 43:28 55
3 Ayema 32 16 7 9 37:21 55
4 Sobemap 32 13 15 4 40:23 54
5 Krake 32 13 12 7 35:26 51
6 ASVO 32 12 14 6 36:20 50
7 JS Pob 32 12 13 7 29:23 49
8 AS Cotonou 32 12 10 10 30:23 46
9 ASPAC 32 10 15 7 34:28 45
10 Police 32 10 11 11 29:31 41
11 Adjidja 32 9 13 10 21:23 40
12 Avrankou Omnisport 32 10 6 16 29:41 36
13 Sitatunga 32 7 14 11 25:35 35
14 Requins de l'Atlantique FC 32 8 10 14 31:41 34
15 JAK 32 7 8 17 26:43 29
16 Aziza 32 4 10 18 21:46 22
17 Etoiles Filantes 32 4 7 21 17:49 19
18 Ouidah 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Ligue 1 2024/2025 (Play Offs)