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Assabah vs Al-Khmes

Libya Libya

Premier League 2025/2026
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AI Match Summary

The Premier League 2025/2026 game between Assabah and Al-Khmes finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Assabah
30%
Draws
29%
Al-Khmes
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Assabah

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Al-Khmes come out ahead of Assabah on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Premier League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
Assabah Clean Sheet 20%
Al-Khmes Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Assabah Al-Khmes
Matches Played 18 30
Wins 6 7
Draws 4 5
Losses 8 18
Goals Scored 0.67 0.87
Goals Conceded 1 1.7
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 8, 2026 Premier League
Al-Khmes vs Assabah
2:2
Jan 20, 2026 Premier League
Assabah vs Al-Khmes
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Assabah 31 / 100
Al-Khmes 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Assabah Al-Khmes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Assabah Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al-Khmes let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Assabah went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Assabah's goal record stands at 56% scoring rate across 18 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Assabah VS Al-Khmes
0.75 Goals Scored 1.38
1 Goals Conceded 2.25
50% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Assabah

(Home)
23 Apr
Assabah
1 : 0
Al Madina
18 Apr
Al Qadisiyah
1 : 0
Assabah
13 Apr
Assabah
0 : 3
Asswehly
08 Apr
Al-Khmes
2 : 2
Assabah
16 Mar
Assabah
1 : 0
Abu Salim
Page 1 of 4

Al-Khmes

(Away)
23 Apr
Abu Salim
0 : 0
Al-Khmes
18 Apr
Al-Khmes
1 : 3
Al Ahly Tripoli
13 Apr
Al Watan
0 : 1
Al-Khmes
08 Apr
Al-Khmes
2 : 2
Assabah
16 Mar
Al Malaab El Libby
2 : 0
Al-Khmes
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Ahly Tripoli 18 15 2 1 47:9 47
2 Asswehly 18 13 4 1 35:9 43
3 Al Madina 18 8 4 6 23:22 28
4 Al Watan 18 6 5 7 14:18 23
5 Assabah 18 6 4 8 12:18 22
6 Al Malaab El Libby 18 5 5 8 15:21 20
7 Al-Khmes 18 5 5 8 19:31 20
8 Al Qadisiyah 18 6 2 10 11:24 19
9 Al Dahra 18 3 5 10 20:27 14
10 Abu Salim 18 3 4 11 13:30 13
Promotion - Premier League 2025/2026 (Championship Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al-Ittihad 16 13 3 0 35:9 42
2 Olympic Azzaweya 16 9 4 3 25:11 31
3 Al Ittihad Misurata 16 7 6 3 21:11 27
4 Al-Majd 16 6 5 5 14:13 23
5 Al Shomooa 16 6 4 6 24:19 22
6 Shabab Al-Ghar 16 4 6 6 17:27 18
7 Al Tirsana 16 3 7 6 15:23 16
8 Ittihad Gharyan 16 2 4 10 10:25 10
9 Abi Al Ashar 16 1 3 12 9:32 6
Promotion - Premier League 2025/2026 (Championship Group)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Military Union 16 10 5 1 26:9 35
2 Al Hilal Benghazi 16 10 4 2 20:11 34
3 Al Ahly Benghazi 16 9 6 1 23:6 33
4 Al Taawun 16 7 5 4 19:14 26
5 Darnes 16 5 5 6 16:16 20
6 Al Sadaqa 16 5 4 7 16:17 19
7 Al-Anwar 16 1 8 7 12:23 11
8 Al Borouq 16 2 4 10 7:21 10
9 Al-Suqoor 16 1 3 12 13:35 6
Promotion - Premier League 2025/2026 (Championship Group)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Nasr 14 11 2 1 28:7 35
2 Al Akhdar 14 8 4 2 16:9 28
3 Al-Afreeki 14 7 2 5 29:18 23
4 Al Tahaddi 14 5 6 3 21:14 21
5 Khaleej Sirte 14 5 4 5 25:22 19
6 Wefaq Ajdabiya 14 5 3 6 13:17 18
7 Al Murooj SC 14 4 1 9 16:24 13
8 Al-Andalus 14 0 0 14 1:38 0
Promotion - Premier League 2025/2026 (Championship Group)