Sport Picks
Associacao Portuguesa Londrinense vs Arapongas
Brazil
Paranaense 3 2024 
Match Events
45'
45'
Sato
45'
45'
Oliveira G.
45'
45'
Oliveira G.
AI Match Summary
Arapongas in this Paranaense 3 2024 matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Arapongas.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
31%
39%
30%
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
65%
/ Medium Confidence
- Associacao Portuguesa Londrinense haven't matched Arapongas's recent run of results.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- Regular Paranaense 3 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Associacao Portuguesa Londrinense Clean Sheet 10%
Arapongas Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Associacao Portuguesa Londrinense | Arapongas |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 14 | 30 |
| Wins | 3 | 12 |
| Draws | 4 | 8 |
| Losses | 7 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 0.75 | 2.5 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.38 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.75 | 2.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.38 | 0.88 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 13, 2024 Paranaense 3
Arapongas vs Associacao Portuguesa Londrinense
0:0
Sep 15, 2024 Paranaense 3
Associacao Portuguesa Londrinense vs Arapongas
0:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Associacao Portuguesa Londrinense Compare
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38
Arapongas Compare
Top Goalscorer Sato
1 Goals Assists Leader Firmino
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.27
Avg xA / game 1.39
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Associacao Portuguesa Londrinense 30 / 100
Arapongas 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Associacao Portuguesa Londrinense Arapongas
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick ARA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Arapongas conceded in 63% of 30 recent games.
Historical meetings average 1.50 goals per match.
Associacao Portuguesa Londrinense scored in 57% of their last 14 games.
Associacao Portuguesa Londrinense has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Associacao Portuguesa Londrinense VS Arapongas
0.75 Goals Scored 2.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Associacao Portuguesa Londrinense
(Home) 05 Oct
CA Cambe
2 : 0 Associacao Portuguesa Londrinense
28 Sept
Associacao Portuguesa Londrinense
1 : 2 City London
20 Sept
Associacao Portuguesa Londrinense
3 : 3 Gremio Maringa
14 Sept
City London
0 : 0 Associacao Portuguesa Londrinense
06 Sept
Gremio Maringa
2 : 0 Associacao Portuguesa Londrinense
Page 1 of 3
28 Sept
Associacao Portuguesa Londrinense
1 : 2 City London
20 Sept
Associacao Portuguesa Londrinense
3 : 3 Gremio Maringa
31 Aug
Associacao Portuguesa Londrinense
1 : 3 CA Cambe
05 Oct
Associacao Portuguesa Londrinense
2 : 1 Campo Mourao
18 Sept
Associacao Portuguesa Londrinense
2 : 0 CA Cambe
Page 1 of 2
Arapongas
(Away) 09 Nov
Arapongas
1 : 2 Batel
02 Nov
Batel
2 : 2 Arapongas
26 Oct
Arapongas
0 : 2 Iraty
20 Oct
Iraty
0 : 3 Arapongas
13 Oct
Arapongas
0 : 0 Associacao Portuguesa Londrinense
Page 1 of 6
02 Nov
Batel
2 : 2 Arapongas
20 Oct
Iraty
0 : 3 Arapongas
04 Oct
Rolandia EC
2 : 1 Arapongas
18 Sept
Campo Mourao
1 : 2 Arapongas
15 Sept
Associacao Portuguesa Londrinense
0 : 3 Arapongas
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Batel | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 14:8 | 16 |
| 2 | Hope Internacional | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 7:4 | 12 |
| 3 | Iraty | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 7:8 | 12 |
| 4 | Araucaria | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7:9 | 8 |
| 5 | Prudentopolis | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 5:11 | 6 |
Promotion - Paranaense 3 2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arapongas | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 24:5 | 19 |
| 2 | Rolandia EC | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 17:11 | 16 |
| 3 | Associacao Portuguesa Londrinense | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8:8 | 11 |
| 4 | Campo Mourao | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 18:15 | 10 |
| 5 | CA Cambe | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3:31 | 1 |
Promotion - Paranaense 3 2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vere FC | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 11:8 | 12 |
| 2 | Toledo | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 9:7 | 12 |
| 3 | Oeste Brasil | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 10:5 | 9 |
| 4 | Uniao PR | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1:11 | 3 |
Promotion - Paranaense 3 2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams