Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Associacao Portuguesa Londrinense vs Campo Mourao

Brazil Brazil

Paranaense 3 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Santos H.
60' Event
Neto Goiano
90' Event
Jose Roberto

AI Match Summary

The Paranaense 3 2024 game between Associacao Portuguesa Londrinense and Campo Mourao finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Associacao Portuguesa Londrinense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Associacao Portuguesa Londrinense
44%
Draws
20%
Campo Mourao
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Associacao Portuguesa Londrinense haven't matched Campo Mourao's recent run of results.
  • 44% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Associacao Portuguesa Londrinense Clean Sheet 14%
Campo Mourao Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Associacao Portuguesa Londrinense Campo Mourao
Matches Played 14 14
Wins 3 4
Draws 4 4
Losses 7 6
Goals Scored 1 2
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 5, 2024 Paranaense 3
Associacao Portuguesa Londrinense vs Campo Mourao
2:1
Sep 8, 2024 Paranaense 3
Campo Mourao vs Associacao Portuguesa Londrinense
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Associacao Portuguesa Londrinense Compare

Top Goalscorer Santos H.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Neto Goiano
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Campo Mourao Compare

Top Goalscorer Jose Roberto
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Associacao Portuguesa Londrinense 35 / 100
Campo Mourao 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Associacao Portuguesa Londrinense Campo Mourao

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CAM Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Campo Mourao conceded in 79% of 14 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Associacao Portuguesa Londrinense's goal record stands at 57% scoring rate across 14 recent games.

Associacao Portuguesa Londrinense has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Associacao Portuguesa Londrinense VS Campo Mourao
1 Goals Scored 2
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Associacao Portuguesa Londrinense

(Home)
05 Oct
CA Cambe
2 : 0
Associacao Portuguesa Londrinense
28 Sept
Associacao Portuguesa Londrinense
1 : 2
City London
20 Sept
Associacao Portuguesa Londrinense
3 : 3
Gremio Maringa
14 Sept
City London
0 : 0
Associacao Portuguesa Londrinense
06 Sept
Gremio Maringa
2 : 0
Associacao Portuguesa Londrinense
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Campo Mourao

(Away)
05 Oct
Oeste Brasil
2 : 0
Campo Mourao
02 Oct
Vere FC
3 : 0
Campo Mourao
20 Sept
Campo Mourao
0 : 0
Uniao PR
14 Sept
Campo Mourao
1 : 1
Vere FC
06 Sept
Uniao PR
0 : 3
Campo Mourao
Page 1 of 3

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Batel851214:816
2Hope Internacional83327:412
3Iraty83327:812
4Araucaria82247:98
5Prudentopolis81345:116
Promotion - Paranaense 3 2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Arapongas861124:519
2Rolandia EC851217:1116
3Associacao Portuguesa Londrinense83238:811
4Campo Mourao831418:1510
5CA Cambe80173:311
Promotion - Paranaense 3 2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Vere FC640211:812
2Toledo64029:712
3Oeste Brasil630310:59
4Uniao PR61051:113
Promotion - Paranaense 3 2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams