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Asswehly vs Al-Khmes

Libya Libya

Premier League 2025/2026 Misurata Stadium, Misrata
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Asswehly in this Premier League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Asswehly.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Asswehly
30%
Draws
19%
Al-Khmes
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Asswehly

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Asswehly lately — more wins on the board than Al-Khmes.
  • Asswehly are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Asswehly here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 23%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Asswehly Clean Sheet 20%
Al-Khmes Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Asswehly Al-Khmes
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 20 7
Draws 5 5
Losses 5 18
Goals Scored 1.73 0.87
Goals Conceded 0.7 1.7
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 26, 2026 Premier League
Al-Khmes vs Asswehly
0:4
Dec 25, 2025 Premier League
Asswehly vs Al-Khmes
2:0
Feb 9, 2024 Premier League
Asswehly vs Al-Khmes
2:0
Oct 29, 2023 Premier League
Al-Khmes vs Asswehly
2:1
Feb 11, 2023 Premier League
Al-Khmes vs Asswehly
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Asswehly 85 / 100
Al-Khmes 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Asswehly Al-Khmes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Asswehly Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Asswehly scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

Asswehly went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Al-Khmes's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Asswehly VS Al-Khmes
2 Goals Scored 0.67
0.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 67%
50% Over 2.5 33%
13% Over 3.5 33%

Recent Form & Match History

Asswehly

(Home)
13 Sept
KVZ
0 : 3
Asswehly
04 Sept
Asswehly
1 : 0
KVZ
06 Jun
Asswehly
2 : 1
Al Nasr
24 May
Al Ahly Tripoli
0 : 0
Asswehly
20 May
Al Madina
0 : 3
Asswehly
Page 1 of 6

Al-Khmes

(Away)
23 Apr
Abu Salim
0 : 0
Al-Khmes
18 Apr
Al-Khmes
1 : 3
Al Ahly Tripoli
13 Apr
Al Watan
0 : 1
Al-Khmes
08 Apr
Al-Khmes
2 : 2
Assabah
16 Mar
Al Malaab El Libby
2 : 0
Al-Khmes
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Ahly Tripoli 18 15 2 1 47:9 47
2 Asswehly 18 13 4 1 35:9 43
3 Al Madina 18 8 4 6 23:22 28
4 Al Watan 18 6 5 7 14:18 23
5 Assabah 18 6 4 8 12:18 22
6 Al Malaab El Libby 18 5 5 8 15:21 20
7 Al-Khmes 18 5 5 8 19:31 20
8 Al Qadisiyah 18 6 2 10 11:24 19
9 Al Dahra 18 3 5 10 20:27 14
10 Abu Salim 18 3 4 11 13:30 13
Promotion - Premier League 2025/2026 (Championship Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al-Ittihad 16 13 3 0 35:9 42
2 Olympic Azzaweya 16 9 4 3 25:11 31
3 Al Ittihad Misurata 16 7 6 3 21:11 27
4 Al-Majd 16 6 5 5 14:13 23
5 Al Shomooa 16 6 4 6 24:19 22
6 Shabab Al-Ghar 16 4 6 6 17:27 18
7 Al Tirsana 16 3 7 6 15:23 16
8 Ittihad Gharyan 16 2 4 10 10:25 10
9 Abi Al Ashar 16 1 3 12 9:32 6
Promotion - Premier League 2025/2026 (Championship Group)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Military Union 16 10 5 1 26:9 35
2 Al Hilal Benghazi 16 10 4 2 20:11 34
3 Al Ahly Benghazi 16 9 6 1 23:6 33
4 Al Taawun 16 7 5 4 19:14 26
5 Darnes 16 5 5 6 16:16 20
6 Al Sadaqa 16 5 4 7 16:17 19
7 Al-Anwar 16 1 8 7 12:23 11
8 Al Borouq 16 2 4 10 7:21 10
9 Al-Suqoor 16 1 3 12 13:35 6
Promotion - Premier League 2025/2026 (Championship Group)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Nasr 14 11 2 1 28:7 35
2 Al Akhdar 14 8 4 2 16:9 28
3 Al-Afreeki 14 7 2 5 29:18 23
4 Al Tahaddi 14 5 6 3 21:14 21
5 Khaleej Sirte 14 5 4 5 25:22 19
6 Wefaq Ajdabiya 14 5 3 6 13:17 18
7 Al Murooj SC 14 4 1 9 16:24 13
8 Al-Andalus 14 0 0 14 1:38 0
Promotion - Premier League 2025/2026 (Championship Group)