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Assyriska FF vs AFC Eskilstuna

Sweden Sweden

Division 1 - Norra Sodertalje Fotbollsarena, Södertälje
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Flodkvist A.
29'
Jarret-Marston K.
42' Event
Rydh M.

AI Match Summary

The Division 1 - Norra game between Assyriska FF and AFC Eskilstuna finished 2-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward AFC Eskilstuna.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Assyriska FF
15%
Draws
57%
AFC Eskilstuna
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: AFC Eskilstuna

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and AFC Eskilstuna come out ahead of Assyriska FF on wins alone.
  • Model gives AFC Eskilstuna a 57% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and AFC Eskilstuna have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Assyriska FF Clean Sheet 13%
AFC Eskilstuna Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Assyriska FF AFC Eskilstuna
Matches Played 31 32
Wins 12 20
Draws 7 4
Losses 12 8
Goals Scored 1.9 2.06
Goals Conceded 1.61 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 17, 2026 Division 1 - Norra
Assyriska FF vs AFC Eskilstuna
2:5
Jul 19, 2026 Club Friendly
AFC Eskilstuna vs Assyriska FF
3:2
Jun 14, 2026 Division 1 - Norra
AFC Eskilstuna vs Assyriska FF
1:0
Aug 16, 2025 Division 1 - Norra
AFC Eskilstuna vs Assyriska FF
2:1
May 18, 2025 Division 1 - Norra
Assyriska FF vs AFC Eskilstuna
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Assyriska FF Compare

Top Goalscorer Aaltonen F.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

AFC Eskilstuna Compare

Top Goalscorer Rydh M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Flodkvist A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Assyriska FF 22 / 100
AFC Eskilstuna 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Assyriska FF AFC Eskilstuna

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AFC Eskilstuna Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Assyriska FF found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (31 games).

These sides typically produce 3.80 goals when they meet.

AFC Eskilstuna's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 32 matches.

Assyriska FF went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Assyriska FF VS AFC Eskilstuna
1.88 Goals Scored 2.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Assyriska FF

(Home)
17 Sept
Assyriska FF
2 : 5
AFC Eskilstuna
10 Sept
Enkopings SK
2 : 1
Assyriska FF
04 Sept
Assyriska FF
2 : 1
IFK Stocksund
29 Aug
FC Jarfalla
0 : 2
Assyriska FF
23 Aug
Assyriska FF
1 : 2
Gefle
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AFC Eskilstuna

(Away)
20 Sept
AFC Eskilstuna
0 : 1
Gefle
17 Sept
Assyriska FF
2 : 5
AFC Eskilstuna
13 Sept
AFC Eskilstuna
1 : 0
Pitea
05 Sept
Karlstad
1 : 2
AFC Eskilstuna
29 Aug
AFC Eskilstuna
2 : 1
Sollentuna
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Stockholm Internazionale 23 16 3 4 55:19 51
2 AFC Eskilstuna 23 13 4 6 41:30 43
3 Hammarby TFF 23 12 6 5 48:22 42
4 FC Arlanda 23 12 6 5 40:27 42
5 Karlstad 23 11 6 6 35:23 39
6 FBK Karlstad 23 11 6 6 36:32 39
7 Enkopings SK 23 12 3 8 37:38 39
8 Assyriska FF 23 9 5 9 42:40 32
9 Gefle 23 9 3 11 29:41 30
10 Umea FC 23 8 5 10 31:37 29
11 Karlbergs 23 8 4 11 29:38 28
12 Sollentuna 23 5 9 9 21:31 24
13 Vasalund 23 6 6 11 34:48 24
14 Pitea 23 4 6 13 27:44 18
15 FC Jarfalla 23 5 3 15 30:50 18
16 IFK Stocksund 23 3 5 15 43:58 14
Promotion - Superettan 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 - Norra (Promotion)
Relegation - Division 1 - Norra (Relegation - Play Offs)