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Assyriska FF vs FBK Karlstad - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Sweden Sweden

Division 1 - Norra Sodertalje Fotbollsarena, Södertälje
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Assyriska FF host FBK Karlstad in the Division 1 - Norra. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Recent numbers: Assyriska FF at 1.94 goals for, 1.66 against; FBK Karlstad at 1.73 for, 1.27 against. Past meetings favor Assyriska FF slightly — 2-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 1, 2026, ending 0:2. Model xG sits at 1.56 vs 1.63, favoring FBK Karlstad. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Assyriska FF
30%
Draws
52%
FBK Karlstad
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: FBK Karlstad

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to FBK Karlstad lately — more wins on the board than Assyriska FF.
  • 52% — that's where the model lands on FBK Karlstad taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Assyriska FF have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Assyriska FF Clean Sheet 14%
FBK Karlstad Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Assyriska FF FBK Karlstad
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 12 16
Draws 7 7
Losses 13 7
Goals Scored 1.94 1.73
Goals Conceded 1.66 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 1, 2026 Division 1 - Norra
FBK Karlstad vs Assyriska FF
0:2
Sep 1, 2024 Division 1 - Norra
Assyriska FF vs FBK Karlstad
2:3
Jun 8, 2024 Division 1 - Norra
FBK Karlstad vs Assyriska FF
3:5

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Assyriska FF 19 / 100
FBK Karlstad 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Assyriska FF FBK Karlstad

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FBK Karlstad Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.

Assyriska FF scored in 78% of their last 32 games.

Defensive concern: FBK Karlstad conceded in 60% of 30 recent games.

Assyriska FF has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Assyriska FF VS FBK Karlstad
2 Goals Scored 1.63
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Assyriska FF

(Home)
03 Oct
FC Stockholm Internazionale
3 : 0
Assyriska FF
27 Sept
Assyriska FF
1 : 2
Pitea
21 Sept
Vasalund
1 : 5
Assyriska FF
17 Sept
Assyriska FF
2 : 5
AFC Eskilstuna
10 Sept
Enkopings SK
2 : 1
Assyriska FF
Page 1 of 7

FBK Karlstad

(Away)
03 Oct
FBK Karlstad
2 : 2
AFC Eskilstuna
27 Sept
Umea FC
1 : 3
FBK Karlstad
19 Sept
FBK Karlstad
0 : 0
Sollentuna
16 Sept
Karlstad
0 : 0
FBK Karlstad
12 Sept
FBK Karlstad
2 : 1
Vasalund
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Stockholm Internazionale 25 18 3 4 60:20 57
2 FC Arlanda 25 14 6 5 46:28 48
3 AFC Eskilstuna 25 14 5 6 47:34 47
4 Hammarby TFF 25 13 6 6 51:25 45
5 FBK Karlstad 25 12 7 6 41:35 43
6 Enkopings SK 25 13 3 9 38:40 42
7 Karlstad 25 11 8 6 37:25 41
8 Assyriska FF 25 9 5 11 43:45 32
9 Umea FC 25 9 5 11 34:41 32
10 Karlbergs 25 9 5 11 33:41 32
11 Gefle 25 9 3 13 29:43 30
12 Vasalund 25 7 6 12 36:52 27
13 Sollentuna 25 5 9 11 24:36 24
14 Pitea 25 5 7 13 30:46 22
15 FC Jarfalla 25 5 4 16 33:55 19
16 IFK Stocksund 25 3 6 16 45:61 15
Promotion - Superettan 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 - Norra (Promotion)
Relegation - Division 1 - Norra (Relegation - Play Offs)