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Assyriska FF vs Pitea

Sweden Sweden

Division 1 - Norra Sodertalje Fotbollsarena, Södertälje
Sun, Sep 27, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Assyriska FF host Pitea in the Division 1 - Norra. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Assyriska FF have averaged 1.79 scored and 1.68 conceded recently, against Pitea's 1.21 scored and 1.86 conceded. Head-to-head, Assyriska FF have won 2 to Pitea's 1, with 2 draws. They last met on Apr 12, 2026, ending 0:2. xG projections (1.88 - 1.19) back Assyriska FF to edge this. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Assyriska FF
15%
Draws
34%
Pitea
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Assyriska FF

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Assyriska FF come out ahead of Pitea on wins alone.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Assyriska FF taking it.
  • Regular Division 1 - Norra form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Assyriska FF Clean Sheet 20%
Pitea Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Assyriska FF Pitea
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 11 8
Draws 6 6
Losses 11 15
Goals Scored 1.79 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.68 1.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2026 Division 1 - Norra
Pitea vs Assyriska FF
0:2
Sep 8, 2024 Division 1 - Norra
Assyriska FF vs Pitea
2:1
Mar 31, 2024 Division 1 - Norra
Pitea vs Assyriska FF
1:1
Oct 3, 2021 Division 1 - Norra
Assyriska FF vs Pitea
1:1
Jun 19, 2021 Division 1 - Norra
Pitea vs Assyriska FF
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Assyriska FF 36 / 100
Pitea 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Assyriska FF Pitea

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pitea has conceded goals in 86% of their last 29 outings.

Assyriska FF's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Assyriska FF went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Assyriska FF VS Pitea
2.25 Goals Scored 1
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Assyriska FF

(Home)
21 Sept
Vasalund
1 : 5
Assyriska FF
17 Sept
Assyriska FF
2 : 5
AFC Eskilstuna
10 Sept
Enkopings SK
2 : 1
Assyriska FF
04 Sept
Assyriska FF
2 : 1
IFK Stocksund
29 Aug
FC Jarfalla
0 : 2
Assyriska FF
Page 1 of 6

Pitea

(Away)
20 Sept
Pitea
3 : 1
FC Jarfalla
16 Sept
Pitea
0 : 2
Umea FC
13 Sept
AFC Eskilstuna
1 : 0
Pitea
06 Sept
Pitea
3 : 0
Karlbergs
30 Aug
FBK Karlstad
4 : 3
Pitea
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Stockholm Internazionale 23 16 3 4 55:19 51
2 Hammarby TFF 24 13 6 5 50:23 45
3 AFC Eskilstuna 23 13 4 6 41:30 43
4 FC Arlanda 23 12 6 5 40:27 42
5 Karlstad 23 11 6 6 35:23 39
6 FBK Karlstad 23 11 6 6 36:32 39
7 Enkopings SK 23 12 3 8 37:38 39
8 Assyriska FF 23 9 5 9 42:40 32
9 Gefle 23 9 3 11 29:41 30
10 Umea FC 23 8 5 10 31:37 29
11 Karlbergs 23 8 4 11 29:38 28
12 Sollentuna 23 5 9 9 21:31 24
13 Vasalund 23 6 6 11 34:48 24
14 Pitea 23 4 6 13 27:44 18
15 FC Jarfalla 23 5 3 15 30:50 18
16 IFK Stocksund 24 3 5 16 44:60 14
Promotion - Superettan 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 - Norra (Promotion)
Relegation - Division 1 - Norra (Relegation - Play Offs)