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Smedby

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Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Assyriska FF play Smedby in the Club Friendly. It looks like a close match. Recently, Assyriska FF averaged 1.79 goals scored and 1.68 conceded. Smedby averaged 2.15 goals scored and 1.67 conceded. In past meetings, Assyriska FF won 4, Smedby won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Feb 21, 2026 ended 9:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.63 for Assyriska FF and 2.00 for Smedby. This points to a Smedby double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%

Assyriska FF

16%

Draws

42%

Smedby

Draw rate projection: 16% Favored: Smedby

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / Medium Confidence

Assyriska FF picked up more points recently compared to Smedby.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.63 vs 2.00 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 67%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 83%

Over 2.5 Goals 67%

Over 3.5 Goals 40%

Over 4.5 Goals 20%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 61%

Assyriska FF Clean Sheet 10%

Smedby Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 75%

Second Half Goal 79%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Assyriska FF	Smedby
Matches Played	34	33
Wins	12	15
Draws	8	7
Losses	14	11
Goals Scored	1.79	2.15
Goals Conceded	1.68	1.67
Expected Goals (xG)	1.38	1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.50	1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 21, 2026 Club Friendly

Assyriska FF vs Smedby

Possession: 49% - 48% Cards: 0 - 3

9:1

Jul 29, 2023 Division 2 - Södra Svealand

Smedby vs Assyriska FF

Possession: 50% - 42% Cards: 2 - 3

2:0

Apr 9, 2023 Division 2 - Södra Svealand

Assyriska FF vs Smedby

Possession: 53% - 52% Cards: 2 - 1

2:1

Aug 28, 2022 Division 2 - Södra Svealand

Assyriska FF vs Smedby

Possession: 45% - 44% Cards: 0 - 2

4:1

May 7, 2022 Division 2 - Södra Svealand

Smedby vs Assyriska FF

Possession: 59% - 53% Cards: 2 - 1

0:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Assyriska FF 40 / 100

Smedby 40 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Assyriska FF Smedby

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Smedby or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +23.5%

2.94

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +9.9%

1.64

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Assyriska FF attacking → ← attacking Smedby

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Assyriska FF scored in 79% of their last 34 games.

Smedby let in goals in 70% of their last 33 matches.

Games between these two average 4.60 goals.

Assyriska FF went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Smedby lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

44 Points in last 5 52

1.38 Goals expected (xG) 1.50

2.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.88