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Assyriska FF vs Umea FC

Sweden Sweden

Division 1 - Norra Sodertalje Fotbollsarena
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Hillemar L.
40'
Essombe Mambingo J.
42'
Nordeman A.

AI Match Summary

The Division 1 - Norra game between Assyriska FF and Umea FC finished 1-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Umea FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Assyriska FF
17%
Draws
13%
Umea FC
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Assyriska FF

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Umea FC carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Assyriska FF are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Regular Division 1 - Norra form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Umea FC have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Assyriska FF Clean Sheet 10%
Umea FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Assyriska FF Umea FC
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 8 11
Draws 8 6
Losses 13 13
Goals Scored 1.38 1.75
Goals Conceded 2.5 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.50 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 14, 2026 Division 1 - Norra
Assyriska FF vs Umea FC
1:5
Aug 4, 2024 Division 1 - Norra
Umea FC vs Assyriska FF
3:1
Jun 30, 2024 Division 1 - Norra
Assyriska FF vs Umea FC
1:2
Nov 14, 2021 Division 1 - Norra
Assyriska FF vs Umea FC
2:1
May 23, 2021 Division 1 - Norra
Umea FC vs Assyriska FF
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Assyriska FF Compare

Top Goalscorer Hillemar L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Umea FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Cederblad E.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Olawore E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Assyriska FF 65 / 100
Umea FC 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Assyriska FF Umea FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ASS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Umea FC let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.80 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Assyriska FF scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Assyriska FF went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Assyriska FF VS Umea FC
1.38 Goals Scored 1.75
2.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Hammarby TFF14102238:1132
2Karlstad1493222:930
3FC Arlanda1485123:1029
4FC Stockholm Internazionale1483328:1427
5Enkopings SK1481524:2325
6FBK Karlstad1473423:2024
7AFC Eskilstuna1454523:2419
8Karlbergs1453623:2318
9Umea FC1444620:2416
10FC Jarfalla1443721:2715
11Vasalund1443720:3015
12Assyriska FF1435622:2914
13Gefle1442817:2914
14Sollentuna1427512:1913
15Pitea1423916:329
16IFK Stocksund1415828:368