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Stadium Background

Assyriska FF vs Vasalund

Sweden Sweden

Division 1 - Norra Sodertalje Fotbollsarena, Södertälje
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Amos P.
5' Event
Sjoblom E.
25'
Westin T.

AI Match Summary

The Division 1 - Norra game between Assyriska FF and Vasalund finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Assyriska FF.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Assyriska FF
15%
Draws
34%
Vasalund
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Assyriska FF

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Assyriska FF carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Assyriska FF a 51% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Assyriska FF Clean Sheet 16%
Vasalund Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Assyriska FF Vasalund
Matches Played 31 28
Wins 12 8
Draws 7 7
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 1.97 1.39
Goals Conceded 1.65 1.89
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 21, 2026 Division 1 - Norra
Vasalund vs Assyriska FF
1:5
Jun 26, 2026 Division 1 - Norra
Assyriska FF vs Vasalund
3:1
May 28, 2026 Svenska Cupen
Assyriska FF vs Vasalund
0:1
Mar 22, 2026 Club Friendly
Vasalund vs Assyriska FF
1:1
Sep 14, 2025 Division 1 - Norra
Vasalund vs Assyriska FF
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Assyriska FF Compare

Top Goalscorer Sjoblom E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Aaltonen F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Vasalund Compare

Top Goalscorer Amos P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Assyriska FF 66 / 100
Vasalund 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Assyriska FF Vasalund

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Assyriska FF Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Assyriska FF scored in 81% of their last 31 outings.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Vasalund's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 28 matches.

Vasalund's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Assyriska FF VS Vasalund
2.25 Goals Scored 1.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Assyriska FF

(Home)
27 Sept
Assyriska FF
1 : 2
Pitea
21 Sept
Vasalund
1 : 5
Assyriska FF
17 Sept
Assyriska FF
2 : 5
AFC Eskilstuna
10 Sept
Enkopings SK
2 : 1
Assyriska FF
04 Sept
Assyriska FF
2 : 1
IFK Stocksund
Page 1 of 7

Vasalund

(Away)
27 Sept
Gefle
0 : 1
Vasalund
21 Sept
Vasalund
1 : 5
Assyriska FF
17 Sept
Vasalund
0 : 0
Hammarby TFF
12 Sept
FBK Karlstad
2 : 1
Vasalund
06 Sept
Vasalund
2 : 3
Enkopings SK
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Stockholm Internazionale 24 17 3 4 57:20 54
2 AFC Eskilstuna 24 14 4 6 45:32 46
3 Hammarby TFF 24 13 6 5 50:23 45
4 FC Arlanda 24 13 6 5 42:27 45
5 FBK Karlstad 24 12 6 6 39:33 42
6 Karlstad 24 11 7 6 36:24 40
7 Enkopings SK 24 12 3 9 37:40 39
8 Assyriska FF 24 9 5 10 43:42 32
9 Gefle 24 9 3 12 29:42 30
10 Umea FC 24 8 5 11 32:40 29
11 Karlbergs 24 8 5 11 30:39 29
12 Vasalund 24 7 6 11 35:48 27
13 Sollentuna 24 5 9 10 22:33 24
14 Pitea 24 5 6 13 29:45 21
15 FC Jarfalla 24 5 3 16 32:54 18
16 IFK Stocksund 24 3 5 16 44:60 14
Promotion - Superettan 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 - Norra (Promotion)
Relegation - Division 1 - Norra (Relegation - Play Offs)