Sport Picks

Sweden

Division 2 - Östra Götaland 2012

Hagapojkarna

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Assyriska IF play Hagapojkarna in the Division 2 - Östra Götaland 2012. It looks like a close match. Recently, Assyriska IF averaged 1.53 goals scored and 2.37 conceded. Hagapojkarna averaged 1.17 goals scored and 2.48 conceded. In past meetings, Assyriska IF won 1, Hagapojkarna won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Aug 18, 2012 ended 0:4. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.67 for Assyriska IF and 0.63 for Hagapojkarna. This points to a Assyriska IF double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

55%

Assyriska IF

20%

Draws

25%

Hagapojkarna

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Assyriska IF

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

83% / High Confidence

Assyriska IF picked up more points recently compared to Hagapojkarna.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.67 vs 0.63 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 77%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 95%

Over 2.5 Goals 77%

Over 3.5 Goals 46%

Over 4.5 Goals 23%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64%

Assyriska IF Clean Sheet 29%

Hagapojkarna Clean Sheet 20%

First Half Goal 86%

Second Half Goal 90%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Assyriska IF	Hagapojkarna
Matches Played	19	23
Wins	5	2
Draws	1	7
Losses	13	14
Goals Scored	1.53	1.17
Goals Conceded	2.37	2.48

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 18, 2012 Division 2 - Östra Götaland

Hagapojkarna vs Assyriska IF

Possession: 40% - 53% Cards: 1 - 3

0:4

May 26, 2012 Division 2 - Östra Götaland

Assyriska IF vs Hagapojkarna

Possession: 51% - 54% Cards: 2 - 2

2:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Assyriska IF 55 / 100

Hagapojkarna 27 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Assyriska IF Hagapojkarna

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Assyriska IF Win (1)

Secondary Pick Assyriska IF & Over 2.5

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +17.1%

2.13

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +8.6%

1.41

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Assyriska IF attacking → ← attacking Hagapojkarna

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Assyriska IF scored in 68% of their last 19 games.

Hagapojkarna let in goals in 96% of their last 23 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Assyriska IF went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Hagapojkarna lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

16 Points in last 5 13

0.13 Goals expected (xG) 0.00

0.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Husqvarna	22	15	6	1	56:21	51
2	Oskarshamn	22	15	5	2	49:19	50
3	Lindsdals	22	13	6	3	52:27	45
4	Motala	22	11	4	7	48:29	37
5	Karlskrona	22	10	3	9	39:37	33
6	Tenhults	22	9	3	10	37:40	30
7	Ljungby	22	9	3	10	32:37	30
8	Vimmerby	22	8	4	10	29:33	28
9	Assyriska IF	22	6	4	12	34:46	22
10	Tord	22	6	1	15	21:49	19
11	Hagapojkarna	22	2	7	13	26:54	13
12	Myresjo	22	3	4	15	25:56	13