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Asteras Stavrou vs Tilikratis Lefkada

Greece Greece

Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 2025/2026
Asteras Stavrou Logo

Asteras Stavrou

2 - 2
FT
Tilikratis Lefkada Logo

Tilikratis Lefkada

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 2025/2026 game between Asteras Stavrou and Tilikratis Lefkada finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Asteras Stavrou
35%
Draws
35%
Tilikratis Lefkada
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Asteras Stavrou come out ahead of Tilikratis Lefkada on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Asteras Stavrou Clean Sheet 20%
Tilikratis Lefkada Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Asteras Stavrou Tilikratis Lefkada
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 13 10
Draws 9 11
Losses 8 8
Goals Scored 1.4 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.17 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 5, 2026 Gamma Ethniki - Group 3
Asteras Stavrou vs Tilikratis Lefkada
2:2
Jan 7, 2026 Gamma Ethniki - Group 3
Tilikratis Lefkada vs Asteras Stavrou
3:3
Oct 5, 2025 Gamma Ethniki - Group 3
Asteras Stavrou vs Tilikratis Lefkada
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Asteras Stavrou 32 / 100
Tilikratis Lefkada 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Asteras Stavrou Tilikratis Lefkada

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tilikratis Lefkada Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Asteras Stavrou scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Asteras Stavrou went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Tilikratis Lefkada's defensive record shows goals conceded in 59% of 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Asteras Stavrou VS Tilikratis Lefkada
0.63 Goals Scored 0.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Asteras Stavrou

(Home)
08 Apr
Elassona
2 : 1
Asteras Stavrou
05 Apr
Asteras Stavrou
2 : 2
Tilikratis Lefkada
01 Apr
Aris Filiaton
3 : 0
Asteras Stavrou
28 Mar
Asteras Stavrou
0 : 0
Lamia
22 Mar
AO Trikala
0 : 1
Asteras Stavrou
Page 1 of 6

Tilikratis Lefkada

(Away)
08 Apr
Tilikratis Lefkada
2 : 0
Aris Filiaton
05 Apr
Asteras Stavrou
2 : 2
Tilikratis Lefkada
01 Apr
Tilikratis Lefkada
0 : 1
Lamia
28 Mar
Tilikratis Lefkada
1 : 1
AO Trikala
22 Mar
Elassona
1 : 1
Tilikratis Lefkada
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Elassona 27 13 13 3 30:21 46
2 Lamia 27 11 14 3 36:18 44
3 Aris Filiaton 27 13 9 7 32:22 42
4 AO Trikala 27 11 13 5 31:20 40
5 Asteras Stavrou 27 12 9 8 32:34 39
6 Tilikratis Lefkada 27 10 11 8 26:27 35
Promotion - Gamma Ethniki - Promotion Play-offs (Main)