Sport Picks
Asteras Tripolis vs Ilioupoli
Greece
Greek Cup 2025/2026 Theodoros Kolokotronis Stadium, Tripoli 
Match Events
22'
22'
Gioacchini N.
34'
34'
Munoz M.
55'
55'
Sub
Mendieta J. In: Bartolo J.
Out: Mendieta J.
AI Match Summary
Asteras Tripolis in this Greek Cup 2025/2026 tie, finishing 5-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
56%
35%
9%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Asteras Tripolis
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
56%
/ Medium Confidence
- Ilioupoli haven't matched Asteras Tripolis's recent run of results.
- Model gives Asteras Tripolis a 56% chance of winning this.
- Asteras Tripolis have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Asteras Tripolis, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Asteras Tripolis Clean Sheet 68%
Ilioupoli Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Asteras Tripolis | Ilioupoli |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 31 |
| Wins | 10 | 5 |
| Draws | 10 | 5 |
| Losses | 11 | 21 |
| Goals Scored | 1.32 | 0.58 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.19 | 1.61 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.75 | 0.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Dec 3, 2025 Greek Cup
Asteras Tripolis vs Ilioupoli
5:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Asteras Tripolis Compare
Top Goalscorer Gioacchini N.
2 Goals Assists Leader Munoz M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88
Ilioupoli Compare
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Asteras Tripolis 95 / 100
Ilioupoli 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Asteras Tripolis Ilioupoli
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Asteras Tripolis Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Ilioupoli's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 31 matches.
Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.
Attacking prowess: Asteras Tripolis scored in 71% of their last 31 outings.
Solid form: Asteras Tripolis remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Asteras Tripolis VS Ilioupoli
1.5 Goals Scored 0.5
1 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Asteras Tripolis
(Home) 20 Sept
OFI Crete
2 : 2 Asteras Tripolis
16 Sept
Niki Volos
0 : 3 Asteras Tripolis
13 Sept
Asteras Tripolis
1 : 1 AEK
10 Sept
Asteras Tripolis
1 : 1 Aris
07 Sept
Asteras Tripolis
0 : 2 Iraklis FC
Page 1 of 7
13 Sept
Asteras Tripolis
1 : 1 AEK
10 Sept
Asteras Tripolis
1 : 1 Aris
07 Sept
Asteras Tripolis
0 : 2 Iraklis FC
30 Aug
Asteras Tripolis
0 : 1 Olympiacos Piraeus
12 Aug
Asteras Tripolis
3 : 1 AEK Larnaca
Page 1 of 4
Ilioupoli
(Away) 25 Apr
Ilioupoli
1 : 3 PAE Egaleo
19 Apr
PAE Chania (Kissamikos)
1 : 0 Ilioupoli
04 Apr
Ilioupoli
0 : 2 Ellas Syrou
29 Mar
Ilioupoli
0 : 2 Athens Kallithea
21 Mar
Panargiakos
1 : 1 Ilioupoli
Page 1 of 7
19 Apr
PAE Chania (Kissamikos)
1 : 0 Ilioupoli
21 Mar
Panargiakos
1 : 1 Ilioupoli
15 Mar
PAE Egaleo
2 : 0 Ilioupoli
01 Mar
Ellas Syrou
1 : 1 Ilioupoli
21 Feb
Athens Kallithea
1 : 0 Ilioupoli
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Olympiacos Piraeus | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 18:3 | 12 |
| 2 | Levadiakos | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 10:3 | 12 |
| 3 | AEK | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 6:1 | 12 |
| 4 | Panathinaikos | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 6:2 | 12 |
| 5 | Aris | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6:2 | 10 |
| 6 | OFI Crete | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7:3 | 9 |
| 7 | Volos | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10:7 | 7 |
| 8 | PAOK | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10:7 | 7 |
| 9 | Atromitos | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7:5 | 7 |
| 10 | Kifisia | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4:4 | 5 |
| 11 | Asteras Tripolis | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7:4 | 4 |
| 12 | Panetolikos | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5:4 | 4 |
| 13 | Iraklis FC | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2:9 | 4 |
| 14 | Athens Kallithea | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3:5 | 3 |
| 15 | Ellas Syrou | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8:13 | 3 |
| 16 | AEL Larissa | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4:9 | 1 |
| 17 | Kavala | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3:8 | 1 |
| 18 | Marko | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4:10 | 1 |
| 19 | Ilioupoli | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1:10 | 0 |
| 20 | PAE Egaleo | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1:13 | 0 |
Promotion - Greek Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Greek Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
