Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Asteras Tripolis vs Ilioupoli

Greece Greece

Greek Cup Theodoros Kolokotronis Stadium, Tripoli
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Gioacchini N.
34' Event
Munoz M.
55'
Sub
Mendieta J. In: Bartolo J.
Out: Mendieta J.

AI Match Summary

Asteras Tripolis in this Greek Cup tie, finishing 5-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Asteras Tripolis
6%
Draws
4%
Ilioupoli
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Asteras Tripolis

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Ilioupoli haven't matched Asteras Tripolis's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Asteras Tripolis a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Asteras Tripolis have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Asteras Tripolis, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 21%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Asteras Tripolis Clean Sheet 68%
Ilioupoli Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Asteras Tripolis Ilioupoli
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 8 5
Draws 9 4
Losses 12 21
Goals Scored 1.5 0.33
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.33
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.83

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 3, 2025 Greek Cup
Asteras Tripolis vs Ilioupoli
5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Asteras Tripolis Compare

Top Goalscorer Gioacchini N.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Munoz M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Ilioupoli Compare

Avg xG / game 0.3
Avg xA / game 0.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Asteras Tripolis 95 / 100
Ilioupoli 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Asteras Tripolis Ilioupoli

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AST Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ilioupoli's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.

Asteras Tripolis has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Asteras Tripolis found the back of the net in 62% of recent matches (29 games).

Scoring Trends

Asteras Tripolis VS Ilioupoli
1.5 Goals Scored 0.33
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.83
75% Over 1.5 83%
63% Over 2.5 17%
25% Over 3.5 17%

Recent Form & Match History

Asteras Tripolis

(Home)
28 Jul
Sparta Rotterdam
1 : 1
Asteras Tripolis
21 May
Panetolikos
1 : 2
Asteras Tripolis
16 May
Asteras Tripolis
0 : 0
Kifisia
12 May
Asteras Tripolis
1 : 0
Panserraikos
09 May
AEL Larissa
1 : 1
Asteras Tripolis
Page 1 of 6

Ilioupoli

(Away)
25 Apr
Ilioupoli
1 : 3
PAE Egaleo
19 Apr
PAE Chania (Kissamikos)
1 : 0
Ilioupoli
04 Apr
Ilioupoli
0 : 2
Ellas Syrou
29 Mar
Ilioupoli
0 : 2
Athens Kallithea
21 Mar
Panargiakos
1 : 1
Ilioupoli
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Olympiacos Piraeus440018:312
2Levadiakos440010:312
3AEK44006:112
4Panathinaikos44006:212
5Aris43106:210
6OFI Crete43017:39
7Volos421110:77
8PAOK421110:77
9Atromitos42117:57
10Kifisia41214:45
11Asteras Tripolis41127:44
12Panetolikos41125:44
13Iraklis FC41122:94
14Athens Kallithea41033:53
15Ellas Syrou41038:133
16AEL Larissa40134:91
17Kavala40133:81
18Marko40134:101
19Ilioupoli40041:100
20PAE Egaleo40041:130
Promotion - Greek Cup (Play Offs)
Promotion - Greek Cup (Play Offs)