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Asteras Tripolis vs Panathinaikos

Greece Greece

Super League 2025/2026 Theodoros Kolokotronis Stadium, Tripoli
Our Tip

Match Events

6'
Alagbe O.
24'
Andino S.
31' Event
Zaroury A.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Super League 2025/2026 game between Asteras Tripolis and Panathinaikos finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Panathinaikos.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Asteras Tripolis
33%
Draws
40%
Panathinaikos
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Panathinaikos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Asteras Tripolis haven't matched Panathinaikos's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Panathinaikos's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Panathinaikos have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Asteras Tripolis Clean Sheet 18%
Panathinaikos Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Asteras Tripolis Panathinaikos
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 13
Draws 9 9
Losses 12 7
Goals Scored 1.5 1.63
Goals Conceded 1 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2026 Super League
Asteras Tripolis vs Panathinaikos
1:2
Oct 26, 2025 Super League
Panathinaikos vs Asteras Tripolis
2:0
Dec 8, 2024 Super League
Asteras Tripolis vs Panathinaikos
0:1
Aug 18, 2024 Super League
Panathinaikos vs Asteras Tripolis
0:1
Jan 21, 2024 Super League
Panathinaikos vs Asteras Tripolis
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Asteras Tripolis 28 / 100
Panathinaikos 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Asteras Tripolis Panathinaikos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PAN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Asteras Tripolis has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Attacking prowess: Asteras Tripolis scored in 62% of their last 29 outings.

Panathinaikos let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Scoring Trends

Asteras Tripolis VS Panathinaikos
1.5 Goals Scored 1.63
1 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Asteras Tripolis

(Home)
28 Jul
Sparta Rotterdam
1 : 1
Asteras Tripolis
21 May
Panetolikos
1 : 2
Asteras Tripolis
16 May
Asteras Tripolis
0 : 0
Kifisia
12 May
Asteras Tripolis
1 : 0
Panserraikos
09 May
AEL Larissa
1 : 1
Asteras Tripolis
Page 1 of 6

Panathinaikos

(Away)
23 Jul
Paks
1 : 2
Panathinaikos
15 Jul
Rapid Vienna
4 : 1
Panathinaikos
11 Jul
Panathinaikos
3 : 0
Grasshoppers
04 Jul
Ajax
1 : 3
Panathinaikos
01 Jul
Helmond Sport
0 : 4
Panathinaikos
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1AEK26186249:1760
2Olympiacos Piraeus26177245:1158
3PAOK26176352:1757
4Panathinaikos26147544:2649
5Levadiakos26126851:3742
6OFI Crete261021434:4532
7Volos26941326:3831
8Aris26612820:2730
9Atromitos26781126:3029
10Kifisia26691132:4227
11Panetolikos26751424:3826
12AEL Larissa264111122:3923
13Panserraikos26451716:5517
14Asteras Tripolis26381522:4117
Promotion - Super League 2025/2026 (Championship Group)
Promotion - Super League 2025/2026 (Conference League Group)
Relegation - Super League 2025/2026 (Relegation Group)