Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Asteras Tripolis W vs AEK W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Greece Greece

Division A Women 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

43' Event
Gkatsou A.
57' Event
Gkatsou A.
(Penalty)
84'
Brame E.

AI Match Summary

The Division A Women 2025/2026 game between Asteras Tripolis W and AEK W finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Asteras Tripolis W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Asteras Tripolis W
15%
Draws
49%
AEK W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: AEK W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • AEK W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Division A Women 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Asteras Tripolis W Clean Sheet 16%
AEK W Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Asteras Tripolis W AEK W
Matches Played 32 33
Wins 22 24
Draws 3 4
Losses 7 5
Goals Scored 2.56 2.58
Goals Conceded 0.88 0.76
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 Division A Women
AEK W vs Asteras Tripolis W
5:1
Dec 20, 2025 Division A Women
Asteras Tripolis W vs AEK W
2:0
Apr 13, 2025 Division A Women
AEK W vs Asteras Tripolis W
2:1
Dec 15, 2024 Division A Women
Asteras Tripolis W vs AEK W
0:0
Feb 3, 2024 Division A Women
AEK W vs Asteras Tripolis W
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Asteras Tripolis W Compare

Top Goalscorer Gkatsou A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

AEK W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Asteras Tripolis W 31 / 100
AEK W 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Asteras Tripolis W AEK W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AEK W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Asteras Tripolis W scored in 81% of their last 32 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Asteras Tripolis W stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

AEK W let in goals in 48% of their last 33 matches.

Scoring Trends

Asteras Tripolis W VS AEK W
2 Goals Scored 2
1 Goals Conceded 0.5
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Asteras Tripolis W

(Home)
26 Sept
Pyrgos W
0 : 2
Asteras Tripolis W
20 Sept
Asteras Tripolis W
6 : 0
Kifisia W
17 May
Rethymniakos (REA) W
2 : 0
Asteras Tripolis W
09 May
AEK W
5 : 1
Asteras Tripolis W
02 May
Asteras Tripolis W
1 : 0
Odysseas Moschato FC W
Page 1 of 7

AEK W

(Away)
27 Sept
AEK W
3 : 0
Seirines Grevenon W
19 Sept
AEK W
0 : 1
PAOK W
16 May
Volos 2004 W
0 : 2
AEK W
09 May
AEK W
5 : 1
Asteras Tripolis W
26 Apr
AEK W
3 : 0
Acharnaikos W
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 PAOK W 26 23 3 0 89:4 72
2 AEK W 26 20 4 2 69:17 64
3 Asteras Tripolis W 26 16 3 7 61:25 51
4 OFI Crete W 26 15 4 7 49:20 49
5 Panathinaikos W 26 14 6 6 43:26 48
6 Rethymniakos (REA) W 26 14 5 7 53:23 47
7 Paraskevi W 26 11 5 10 32:25 38
8 Odysseas Moschato FC W 26 10 7 9 32:37 37
9 Kifisia W 26 10 3 13 33:42 33
10 Volos W 26 8 8 10 36:40 32
11 Volos 2004 W 26 4 4 18 14:63 16
12 Nees Atromitou W 26 4 4 18 15:76 16
13 Trikala W 26 4 2 20 16:68 14
14 Acharnaikos W 26 0 0 26 0:76 -9
Promotion - UEFA Champions League Women (Qualification - First stage)