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Asti Calcio vs Millesimo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group A
Our Tip

Match Events

80' Event
Soplantai V.
90' Event
Mazzucco L.

AI Match Summary

Asti Calcio in this Serie D - Group A matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Asti Calcio.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Asti Calcio
15%
Draws
32%
Millesimo
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Asti Calcio

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Asti Calcio lately — more wins on the board than Millesimo.
  • 53% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Asti Calcio Clean Sheet 68%
Millesimo Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Asti Calcio Millesimo
Matches Played 30 7
Wins 9 3
Draws 9 0
Losses 12 4
Goals Scored 1 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.23 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 4, 2026 Serie D - Group A
Asti Calcio vs Millesimo
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Asti Calcio Compare

Top Goalscorer Soplantai V.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mazzucco L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Millesimo Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Asti Calcio 41 / 100
Millesimo 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Asti Calcio Millesimo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Asti Calcio Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Millesimo's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 7 matches.

Asti Calcio scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Asti Calcio went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Asti Calcio VS Millesimo
1.38 Goals Scored 1
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Asti Calcio

(Home)
04 Oct
Asti Calcio
2 : 0
Millesimo
27 Sept
Alessandria
2 : 0
Asti Calcio
20 Sept
Asti Calcio
2 : 2
Valenzana
16 Sept
Imperia Calcio
1 : 2
Asti Calcio
12 Sept
Asti Calcio
2 : 0
Gozzano
Page 1 of 6

Millesimo

(Away)
07 Oct
Sanremese
5 : 2
Millesimo
04 Oct
Asti Calcio
2 : 0
Millesimo
27 Sept
Millesimo
2 : 0
GSD Lascaris
20 Sept
Derthona FbC
1 : 0
Millesimo
16 Sept
Millesimo
4 : 1
Alessandria
Page 1 of 2

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Alessandria 6 5 0 1 12:8 15
2 AS Biellese 6 4 2 0 12:5 14
3 Derthona FbC 6 3 2 1 7:6 11
4 Ligorna 6 3 1 2 11:10 10
5 Asti Calcio 6 3 1 2 8:7 10
6 Gozzano 6 3 1 2 8:7 10
7 Saluzzo 6 2 3 1 9:6 9
8 Millesimo 6 3 0 3 8:6 9
9 Chisola 6 2 2 2 9:7 8
10 Imperia Calcio 6 2 2 2 7:6 8
11 GSD Lascaris 6 2 2 2 4:7 8
12 Sanremese 6 2 2 2 9:7 8
13 Fezzanese 6 2 1 3 7:7 7
14 Sestri Levante 6 2 1 3 6:8 7
15 Borgosesia Calcio 6 1 3 2 5:7 6
16 Bra 6 1 2 3 4:7 5
17 Valenzana 6 1 1 4 7:10 4
18 Celle Varazze 6 0 0 6 1:13 0
Promotion - Serie D - Group A (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group A (Play Out)