Sport Picks
Match Events
17'
17'
Chillemi S.
(Penalty)
32'
32'
Montalto A.
(Penalty)
47'
47'
Diallo C.
AI Match Summary
Pistoiese in this Coppa Italia Serie D 2025/2026 tie, finishing 1-3. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
15%
45%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Pistoiese
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
45%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Pistoiese lately — more wins on the board than Asti Calcio.
- Win probability leans Pistoiese's way, sitting at 80%.
- Pistoiese arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Pistoiese, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Asti Calcio Clean Sheet 20%
Pistoiese Clean Sheet 15%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Asti Calcio | Pistoiese |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 30 |
| Wins | 9 | 21 |
| Draws | 8 | 6 |
| Losses | 14 | 3 |
| Goals Scored | 1.06 | 1.93 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.35 | 0.57 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Nov 19, 2025 Coppa Italia Serie D
Asti Calcio vs Pistoiese
1:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Asti Calcio Compare
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5
Pistoiese Compare
Top Goalscorer Diallo C.
1 Goals Assists Leader Bastianelli R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Asti Calcio 12 / 100
Pistoiese 75 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Asti Calcio Pistoiese
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Pistoiese Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 4.00 goals.
Asti Calcio found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (31 games).
Solid form: Asti Calcio remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Pistoiese's defensive record shows goals conceded in 47% of 30 matches.
Scoring Trends
Asti Calcio VS Pistoiese
1.13 Goals Scored 1.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Asti Calcio
(Home) 16 Sept
Imperia Calcio
1 : 2 Asti Calcio
12 Sept
Asti Calcio
2 : 0 Gozzano
06 Sept
Sestri Levante
2 : 0 Asti Calcio
10 May
Cairese
0 : 1 Asti Calcio
03 May
Club Milano
4 : 1 Asti Calcio
Page 1 of 7
12 Sept
Asti Calcio
2 : 0 Gozzano
26 Apr
Asti Calcio
1 : 1 Ligorna
12 Apr
Asti Calcio
2 : 1 Saluzzo
29 Mar
Asti Calcio
1 : 1 Celle Varazze
15 Mar
Asti Calcio
0 : 1 Varese FC
Page 1 of 3
Pistoiese
(Away) 16 Sept
Pistoiese
5 : 0 Arconatese
13 Sept
Crema
1 : 3 Pistoiese
06 Sept
Pistoiese
2 : 0 Solbiatese
22 Aug
Pistoiese
0 : 1 Siena
14 Aug
Seravezza Pozzi
0 : 0 Pistoiese
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
Crema
1 : 3 Pistoiese
14 Aug
Seravezza Pozzi
0 : 0 Pistoiese
01 Aug
Carpi
1 : 2 Pistoiese
26 Apr
Desenzano Calvina
1 : 1 Pistoiese
12 Apr
Pro Sesto
0 : 0 Pistoiese
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Asti Calcio 2
Chisola 0
Ligorna 1
NovaRomentin 2
Vado 3
Sestri Levante 0
Tau 1
Pistoiese 3
Piacenza 2
SCD Progresso 1
Pavia 2
Sant'Angelo 0
Prato 2
Montevarchi 1
Correggese 2
Imolese 1
Sondrio 1
Breno 0
Folgore Caratese 2
Club Milano 3
AC Milan U23 2
Varesina 3
Brusaporto 0
Ciserano-Bergamo 1
Chievo 0
Rovato Vertovese 1
Este 3
Vigasio 2
Cjarlins Muzane 1
Brian Lignano 2
Luparense FC 0
Mestre 1
Fossombrone 0
Ancona 1
Foligno 0
Atletico Ascoli 2
Orvietana 2
Siena 0
Follonica Gavorrano 0
Valmontone 1
Notaresco Calcio 2
Termoli 0
Albalonga 2
Aquila Calcio 1
Grosseto 0
Unipomezia 1
Trastevere Calcio 2
Budoni Calcio 0
Martina Calcio 3
Sarnese 1
Ferrandina 2
Francavilla 3
A.C. Savoia 2
Paganese 1
Citta di Fasano 3
Gravina 0
Nocerina 4
Gelbison 2
Sambiase 0
Reggina 1
Castrumfavara 3
Igea Virtus 1
Enna 0
Sancataldese 2
1/16-finals
Asti Calcio 3
NovaRomentin 2
Vado 0
Pistoiese 3
Piacenza 2
Pavia 1
Prato 1
Correggese 4
Sondrio 0
Club Milano 3
Varesina 4
Ciserano-Bergamo 1
Rovato Vertovese 1
Este 3
Brian Lignano 0
Mestre 1
Ancona 1
Atletico Ascoli 0
Orvietana 0
Valmontone 1
Notaresco Calcio 2
Albalonga 1
Unipomezia 3
Trastevere Calcio 1
Martina Calcio 1
Francavilla 2
A.C. Savoia 3
Citta di Fasano 4
Nocerina 3
Reggina 2
Castrumfavara 3
Sancataldese 2
1/8-finals
Asti Calcio 1
Pistoiese 3
Piacenza 0
Correggese 1
Club Milano 1
Varesina 0
Este 1
Mestre 2
Ancona 2
Valmontone 1
Notaresco Calcio 0
Unipomezia 1
Francavilla 3
Citta di Fasano 2
Nocerina 2
Castrumfavara 0
Quarter-finals
Pistoiese 2
Correggese 0
Club Milano 1
Mestre 0
Ancona 2
Unipomezia 1
Francavilla 1
Nocerina 0
Semi-finals
Pistoiese 3
Club Milano 1
Ancona 2
Francavilla 1
Final
Pistoiese 3
Ancona 0
