Sport Picks
Asti Calcio vs Valenzana - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Italy
Serie D - Group A 
Match Events
18'
18'
Moreo R.
29'
29'
Benedetti S.
32'
32'
Necchio T.
AI Match Summary
The Serie D - Group A game between Asti Calcio and Valenzana finished 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
47%
20%
33%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Asti Calcio
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Valenzana carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans Asti Calcio's way, sitting at 50%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Asti Calcio Clean Sheet 18%
Valenzana Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Asti Calcio | Valenzana |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 8 | 10 |
| Draws | 9 | 6 |
| Losses | 12 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1 | 1.03 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.28 | 1.52 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.56 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 20, 2026 Serie D - Group A
Asti Calcio vs Valenzana
2:2
Jan 25, 2026 Serie D - Group A
Valenzana vs Asti Calcio
1:0
Sep 24, 2025 Serie D - Group A
Asti Calcio vs Valenzana
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Asti Calcio Compare
Top Goalscorer Moreo R.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78
Valenzana Compare
Top Goalscorer Benedetti S.
1 Goals Assists Leader Necchio T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Asti Calcio 49 / 100
Valenzana 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Asti Calcio Valenzana
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Asti Calcio Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Asti Calcio found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).
Valenzana let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.
H2H data points to 2.33 goals as a typical output.
Asti Calcio has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Asti Calcio VS Valenzana
1.13 Goals Scored 1.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Asti Calcio
(Home) 04 Oct
Asti Calcio
2 : 0 Millesimo
27 Sept
Alessandria
2 : 0 Asti Calcio
20 Sept
Asti Calcio
2 : 2 Valenzana
16 Sept
Imperia Calcio
1 : 2 Asti Calcio
12 Sept
Asti Calcio
2 : 0 Gozzano
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
Asti Calcio
2 : 0 Millesimo
20 Sept
Asti Calcio
2 : 2 Valenzana
12 Sept
Asti Calcio
2 : 0 Gozzano
26 Apr
Asti Calcio
1 : 1 Ligorna
12 Apr
Asti Calcio
2 : 1 Saluzzo
Page 1 of 3
Valenzana
(Away) 07 Oct
Valenzana
3 : 2 Saluzzo
04 Oct
Fezzanese
1 : 2 Valenzana
27 Sept
Valenzana
1 : 2 Borgosesia Calcio
20 Sept
Asti Calcio
2 : 2 Valenzana
16 Sept
Valenzana
0 : 1 GSD Lascaris
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
Fezzanese
1 : 2 Valenzana
20 Sept
Asti Calcio
2 : 2 Valenzana
12 Sept
Millesimo
2 : 1 Valenzana
26 Apr
Cairese
4 : 0 Valenzana
02 Apr
Varese FC
1 : 2 Valenzana
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alessandria | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 12:8 | 15 |
| 2 | AS Biellese | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 12:5 | 14 |
| 3 | Derthona FbC | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7:6 | 11 |
| 4 | Ligorna | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11:10 | 10 |
| 5 | Asti Calcio | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8:7 | 10 |
| 6 | Gozzano | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8:7 | 10 |
| 7 | Saluzzo | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 9:6 | 9 |
| 8 | Millesimo | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 8:6 | 9 |
| 9 | Chisola | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9:7 | 8 |
| 10 | Imperia Calcio | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7:6 | 8 |
| 11 | GSD Lascaris | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4:7 | 8 |
| 12 | Sanremese | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9:7 | 8 |
| 13 | Fezzanese | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7:7 | 7 |
| 14 | Sestri Levante | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6:8 | 7 |
| 15 | Borgosesia Calcio | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5:7 | 6 |
| 16 | Bra | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4:7 | 5 |
| 17 | Valenzana | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7:10 | 4 |
| 18 | Celle Varazze | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1:13 | 0 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group A (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group A (Play Out)
