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Astillero vs Daquilema

Ecuador Ecuador

Copa Ecuador
Astillero Logo

Astillero

2 - 0
FT
Daquilema Logo

Daquilema

Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Valarezo R.
80' Event
Solis M.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-0. This leg finished 2-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Astillero
15%
Draws
40%
Daquilema
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Astillero

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Astillero lately — more wins on the board than Daquilema.
  • Astillero are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Astillero have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Astillero, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 61%
Astillero Clean Sheet 20%
Daquilema Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Astillero Daquilema
Matches Played 4 3
Wins 3 2
Draws 0 0
Losses 1 1
Goals Scored 1.5 1
Goals Conceded 0.75 0.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.08 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 13, 2026 Copa Ecuador
Astillero vs Daquilema
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Astillero Compare

Top Goalscorer Valarezo R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Solis M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.83
Avg xA / game 0.54

Daquilema Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Astillero 40 / 100
Daquilema 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Astillero Daquilema

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Astillero Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Astillero scored in 75% of their last 4 games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Astillero stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Daquilema let in goals in 33% of their last 3 matches.

Scoring Trends

Astillero VS Daquilema
1.5 Goals Scored 1
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.67
75% Over 1.5 67%
50% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Astillero

(Home)
10 Sept
Astillero
0 : 1
U. Catolica
13 Aug
Astillero
2 : 0
Daquilema
14 May
Astillero
2 : 1
Guayaquil City
20 Apr
Astillero
2 : 1
22 de Julio

Daquilema

(Away)
13 Aug
Astillero
2 : 0
Daquilema
20 May
Daquilema
1 : 0
Emelec
08 Apr
U.D. Juvenil
0 : 2
Daquilema

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
LDU Quito -
TBD -
Africando 1
Independiente Juniors 2
Leones del Norte -
TBD -
Huaquillas FC 1
Rio Aguarico 0
Aucas -
TBD -
Guaranda 0
San Antonio 1
Dep. Cuenca -
TBD -
La Union 1
Cumbaya 0
Emelec -
TBD -
U.D. Juvenil 0
Daquilema 2
Guayaquil City -
TBD -
Astillero 2
22 de Julio 1
U. Catolica -
TBD -
Dunamis 1
EL Nacional 5
Orense -
TBD -
Domingo TSA 1
Vinotinto 2
Independiente del Valle -
TBD -
Primero de Mayo 0
Dep. Santo Domingo 2
Manta -
TBD -
Nazareno 0
Nueve de Octubre 4
Mushuc Runa -
TBD -
Dep. Quito 0
Gualaceo 1
Macara -
TBD -
Quito 2
CD Cuenca Juniors 3
Barcelona SC -
TBD -
Insutec 4
Club Deportivo Ibarra 3
Libertad -
TBD -
Ind. Azogues 0
LDU Portoviejo 5
Delfin -
TBD -
Banos 2
Anaconda 1
Tecnico U. -
TBD -
Juventud Italiana 2
Atletico FC 1
1/16-finals
LDU Quito 2
Independiente Juniors 1
Leones del Norte 1
Huaquillas FC 0
Aucas 3
San Antonio 0
Dep. Cuenca 0
La Union 1
Emelec 0
Daquilema 1
Guayaquil City 1
Astillero 2
U. Catolica 4
EL Nacional 1
Orense 1
Vinotinto 2
Independiente del Valle 2
Dep. Santo Domingo 0
Manta 1
Nueve de Octubre 0
Mushuc Runa 0
Gualaceo 1
Macara 1
CD Cuenca Juniors 0
Barcelona SC 4
Insutec 2
Libertad 1
LDU Portoviejo 2
Delfin 2
Banos 0
Tecnico U. 0
Juventud Italiana 2
1/8-finals
LDU Quito 6
Leones del Norte 0
Aucas 2
La Union 1
Daquilema 0
Astillero 2
U. Catolica 3
Vinotinto 2
Independiente del Valle 1
Manta 0
Gualaceo 2
Macara 1
Barcelona SC 0
LDU Portoviejo 3
Delfin 1
Juventud Italiana 0
Quarter-finals
LDU Quito 1
Aucas 0
Astillero 0
U. Catolica 1
Independiente del Valle 2
Gualaceo 0
LDU Portoviejo 0
Delfin 2
Semi-finals
LDU Quito -
U. Catolica -
Independiente del Valle -
Delfin -
Final
TBD -
TBD -