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Aston Villa U19 vs AZ Alkmaar U19 Prediction & H2H Stats

Europe Europe

UEFA Youth League 2025/2026 Aston Villa FC Training Ground, Tamworth
Aston Villa U19 Logo

Aston Villa U19

2 - 2
FT
AZ Alkmaar U19 Logo

AZ Alkmaar U19

Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Wilson R.
28' Event
de Wit T.
Assist: Kovacs B.
42'
Moreland C.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-2. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Aston Villa U19
30%
Draws
41%
AZ Alkmaar U19
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: AZ Alkmaar U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and AZ Alkmaar U19 come out ahead of Aston Villa U19 on wins alone.
  • Aston Villa U19 are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • AZ Alkmaar U19 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 83%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 83%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Aston Villa U19 Clean Sheet 10%
AZ Alkmaar U19 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aston Villa U19 AZ Alkmaar U19
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 15 19
Draws 4 5
Losses 11 7
Goals Scored 2.07 2.35
Goals Conceded 1.4 1.32
Expected Goals (xG) 2.31 3.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 9, 2025 UEFA Youth League
AZ Alkmaar U19 vs Aston Villa U19
2:1
Nov 26, 2025 UEFA Youth League
Aston Villa U19 vs AZ Alkmaar U19
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aston Villa U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Wilson R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Burrowes B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.78
Avg xA / game 1.16

AZ Alkmaar U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer de Wit T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader de Wit H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 3.3
Avg xA / game 2.02

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aston Villa U19 40 / 100
AZ Alkmaar U19 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aston Villa U19 AZ Alkmaar U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Aston Villa U19 scored in 87% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

AZ Alkmaar U19's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 31 matches.

Solid form: Aston Villa U19 remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Aston Villa U19 VS AZ Alkmaar U19
3 Goals Scored 2.25
5 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 75%
100% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Aston Villa U19

(Home)
08 Sept
Club Brugge U19
5 : 3
Aston Villa U19
09 Dec
AZ Alkmaar U19
2 : 1
Aston Villa U19
26 Nov
Aston Villa U19
2 : 2
AZ Alkmaar U19
05 Nov
Aston Villa U19
6 : 0
Skenderbeu Korca U19
21 Oct
Skenderbeu Korca U19
1 : 1
Aston Villa U19
Page 1 of 6

AZ Alkmaar U19

(Away)
19 Sept
Sparta Rotterdam U19
1 : 0
AZ Alkmaar U19
15 Sept
Ajax U19
2 : 1
AZ Alkmaar U19
12 Sept
AZ Alkmaar U19
1 : 0
Zwolle U19
05 Sept
AZ Alkmaar U19
2 : 0
PSV U19
29 Aug
De Graafschap U19
0 : 0
AZ Alkmaar U19
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Ordabasy U19 1
Din. Minsk U19 3
TBD -
Ludogorets U19 -
AEK Larnaca U19 -
TBD -
Zrinjski U19 1
Dinamo Tbilisi U19 4
Bravo U19 -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Porto U19 -
Basel U19 -
TBD -
TBD -
Betis U19 -
Austria Vienna U19 -
TBD -
TBD -
Maccabi Haifa U19 -
Nantes U19 -
TBD -
TBD -
Sabah Baku U19 -
Ostrava U19 -
TBD -
TBD -
Crvena zvezda U19 -
Zilina U19 -
TBD -
Shelbourne U19 12
Rabotnicki U19 1
Larne U19 3
Racing Luxembourg U19 4
TBD -
Koln U19 -
Midtjylland U19 -
TBD -
Haverfordwest U19 3
Buducnost U19 5
BE1 NFA U19 1
HJK U19 5
TBD -
Trabzonspor U19 -
Genk U19 -
TBD -
Vikingur U19 4
Narva U19 2
Jelgava U19 2
KA Akureyri U19 3
TBD -
PAOK U19 -
Legia U19 -
TBD -
TBD -
Fiorentina U19 -
Lok. Zagreb U19 -
TBD -
TBD -
FCSB U19 -
Brann U19 -
TBD -
TBD -
Puskas Akademia U19 -
Dynamo Kyiv U19 -
TBD -
TBD -
Brommapojkarna U19 -
Hibernian U19 -
TBD -
TBD -
2 Korriku U19 -
Inter Escaldes U19 0
Skenderbeu Korca U19 15
TBD -
Aston Villa U19 -
AZ Alkmaar U19 -
TBD -
Naxxar Lions U19 1
Lincoln Red Imps U19 6
Semi-finals
Din. Minsk U19 2
Ludogorets U19 1
AEK Larnaca U19 3
Dinamo Tbilisi U19 6
Bravo U19 1
FC Porto U19 8
Basel U19 3
Betis U19 4
Austria Vienna U19 2
Maccabi Haifa U19 4
Nantes U19 7
Sabah Baku U19 1
Ostrava U19 1
Crvena zvezda U19 4
Zilina U19 3
Shelbourne U19 2
Racing Luxembourg U19 1
Koln U19 5
Midtjylland U19 8
Buducnost U19 1
HJK U19 3
Trabzonspor U19 2
Genk U19 11
Vikingur U19 1
KA Akureyri U19 0
PAOK U19 4
Legia U19 6
Fiorentina U19 4
Lok. Zagreb U19 4
FCSB U19 6
Brann U19 1
Puskas Akademia U19 2
Dynamo Kyiv U19 3
Brommapojkarna U19 1
Hibernian U19 4
2 Korriku U19 1
Skenderbeu Korca U19 1
Aston Villa U19 7
AZ Alkmaar U19 9
Lincoln Red Imps U19 0
Final
Din. Minsk U19 3
Dinamo Tbilisi U19 2
FC Porto U19 0
Betis U19 9
Maccabi Haifa U19 4
Nantes U19 2
Crvena zvezda U19 3
Zilina U19 4
Koln U19 5
Midtjylland U19 2
HJK U19 3
Genk U19 2
PAOK U19 2
Legia U19 4
FCSB U19 4
Puskas Akademia U19 5
Dynamo Kyiv U19 2
Hibernian U19 1
Aston Villa U19 3
AZ Alkmaar U19 4